TBEA(SH:600089) Zhongyuan Securities·2025-11-07 09:13Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Increase" investment rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [26]. Core Views - The company has shown robust performance in Q3 2025, with a significant net profit increase of 81.51% year-on-year, primarily driven by substantial fair value changes from the listing of Huadian New Energy [6][9]. - The company's diverse business segments, including power transmission and transformation, new energy, and new materials, are expected to sustain growth due to strong competitive advantages and market demand [9]. - The recovery in polysilicon prices and industry capacity reduction are anticipated to enhance the performance of the polysilicon segment, with expectations of improved profitability as excess supply conditions gradually change [9]. - The company plans to raise up to 8 billion RMB through convertible bonds to fund a coal-to-gas project, which is expected to optimize its energy business structure and enhance operational efficiency [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 24.566 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 0.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.3 billion RMB, up 81.51% [6]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached 72.918 billion RMB, a 0.84% increase year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.484 billion RMB, reflecting a 27.55% increase [6]. Business Segments - The company maintains a strong competitive position in the power transmission sector, with a market share of nearly 30% in the ultra-high voltage transformer and reactor markets [9]. - The international market for the company's power transmission products is expanding, with over 5 billion USD in unconfirmed revenue contracts and pending contracts as of June 2025 [9]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 6.915 billion RMB, 7.622 billion RMB, and 9.564 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.37 RMB, 1.51 RMB, and 1.89 RMB [11]. - The report highlights the company's low valuation levels and strong growth expectations, reinforcing the "Increase" investment rating [11].