Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company has demonstrated excellent underwriting performance, with a comprehensive cost ratio (COR) improving by 2.1 percentage points year-on-year to 96.1% for the first three quarters of 2025. Total investment income increased by 33% year-on-year to 35.9 billion yuan, contributing to a net profit growth of 50.5% to 40.3 billion yuan [5][7] - The company’s original premium income grew by 3.5% year-on-year to 443.2 billion yuan, maintaining a steady performance. The underwriting profit for Q3 2025 was approximately 1.85 billion yuan, a significant improvement from a loss of 2.56 billion yuan in the same period last year [7] - The company’s total investment income for the first three quarters was 35.9 billion yuan, with Q3 alone contributing 18.6 billion yuan, surpassing the total for the first half of 2025 [7] - Future underwriting performance is expected to improve due to regulatory changes and adjustments in pricing for new energy vehicles, which may enhance underwriting profits [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 40.3 billion yuan, a 50.5% increase year-on-year. The total investment income reached 35.9 billion yuan, with a quarterly total of 18.6 billion yuan [5][7] - The company’s comprehensive cost ratio improved to 96.1%, and the annualized total investment return increased by 0.6 percentage points to 5.4% [5][7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from new regulatory measures that will lower the comprehensive cost ratio for non-auto insurance products. Additionally, the implementation of differentiated pricing for new energy vehicles is anticipated to enhance profitability [7] - Forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are 46.8 billion yuan, 52.4 billion yuan, and 57.6 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 45.5%, 12.0%, and 9.8% respectively [7]
中国财险（02328）：承保投资皆优秀，后续承保催化剂较多