Jovo Energy(SH:605090) Changjiang Securities·2025-11-08 07:27Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 15.608 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a decrease of 8.5% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.241 billion yuan, down 19.1% year-on-year. In the third quarter alone, revenue was 5.180 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.4%, with a net profit of 380 million yuan, down 11% year-on-year. The LPG business profits were impacted by typhoons and maintenance, but significant improvement is expected in the fourth quarter due to the arrival of the natural gas peak season and the completion of tank maintenance [2][7][14]. - The company plans to invest in a coal-to-gas project in Xinjiang, which will enhance its upstream gas source layout. The project has a total investment of 23.033 billion yuan, with the company expected to contribute up to 3.455 billion yuan, aiming to secure 50% equity in the project, which will produce 2 billion cubic meters of natural gas annually [2][14]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 15.608 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.241 billion yuan, down 19.1%. The third quarter alone saw a revenue of 5.180 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.4%, and a net profit of 380 million yuan, down 11% year-on-year [2][7][14]. Business Outlook - The fourth quarter is expected to show significant improvement due to the recovery of domestic natural gas prices and the completion of tank maintenance. The LPG business is anticipated to see a steady increase in sales, and the impact of extreme weather has ended [14]. Dividend Policy - The company has a cash dividend plan for 2024-2026, with fixed cash dividends of 750 million, 850 million, and 1 billion yuan respectively, along with a dual-layer dividend model of "fixed cash dividend + special cash dividend" [14]. Investment Projects - The company is investing in a coal-to-gas project in Xinjiang, which is expected to produce 4 billion cubic meters of natural gas annually. The project has a total investment of 23.033 billion yuan, with the company contributing up to 3.455 billion yuan [14]. Earnings Forecast - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is 2.24 yuan, 2.60 yuan, and 3.04 yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 14.61X, 12.60X, and 10.76X [14].