海天精工(601882):25Q3收入稳健增长,静待盈利能力修复

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [8]. Core Insights - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.521 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.13%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 338 million yuan, a decrease of 16.39% year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 308 million yuan, down 15.01% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 858 million yuan, up 5.38% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 101 million yuan, down 8.73% year-on-year [2][6][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 453 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a significant increase of 91.85% year-on-year, indicating improved cash collection [11]. - As of the end of Q3, the company's contract liabilities increased to 844 million yuan from 754 million yuan at the beginning of the year, reflecting a solid order backlog [11]. Industry Outlook - The machine tool industry is expected to gradually recover, supported by policies and export growth. In the first eight months of 2025, the revenue of metal cutting machine tools increased by 12.8% year-on-year, and the order backlog grew by 6.5% [11]. - The company is positioned to benefit from structural opportunities such as policy support, self-sufficiency, and international expansion, with projected net profits of 504 million yuan, 602 million yuan, and 715 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [11].