江苏银行(600919):业绩增长确定性强,规模高增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company shows strong certainty in performance growth, with a significant increase in scale [12] - Revenue growth for the first three quarters is 7.8%, with net interest income growth at 19.6% and net profit growth at 8.3% [5][12] - Total assets increased by 24.7% compared to the beginning of the year, with loans growing by 17.9% [5][12] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains stable at 0.84%, with a provision coverage ratio of 323% [5][12] Summary by Sections Performance - Net interest income continues to grow significantly, with a 19.6% increase in the first three quarters [12] - Non-interest income decreased by 16.0%, primarily due to adjustments in the bond market [12] - The effective tax rate has decreased, which has positively impacted profitability [12] Scale - Total assets grew by 24.7% compared to the beginning of the year, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.9% [12] - Corporate loans saw a substantial increase of 26.3% compared to the beginning of the year [12] - Retail loans increased by 1.7%, although there was a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.3% [12] Interest Margin - The net interest margin for the first three quarters is estimated at 1.68%, with a narrowing decline compared to the previous period [12] - The cost of interest-bearing liabilities has decreased significantly, which is expected to continue improving [12] Asset Quality - The NPL ratio is stable at 0.84%, with a provision coverage ratio of 323% [12] - Retail asset quality shows signs of improvement, with a decrease in the NPL generation rate [12] Investment Recommendation - The company presents a strong certainty in performance growth, with significant expansion in credit scale and improvement in deposit costs [12] - The stock price has corrected, leading to a projected dividend yield of 5.0% for 2025, highlighting its investment value [12]