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估值周观察(11月第2期):外弱内稳:能源强势,价值回归

Core Insights - The overseas markets experienced a decline during the week of November 3 to November 7, 2025, with most indices falling, except for Singapore and Hong Kong which saw gains. The Nikkei 225 and the Korean Composite Index dropped by 4.07% and 3.74% respectively, while the Nasdaq 100 had the largest decline at -3.09% [2][9] - A-shares showed a broad increase with a moderate expansion in valuations. All major indices except for the CSI 500 saw mild increases, with value stocks outperforming growth stocks. The PE ratios for major indices were mostly in the 93%-99% percentile range for the past year [2][27][28] - The energy sector performed notably well, with significant gains in the digital energy (+8.79%), photovoltaic (+8.01%), and charging pile (+7.47%) sectors, while the smart car sector faced declines [2][27] Global Valuation Tracking - The report highlights that the global equity markets mostly declined, with valuation levels contracting alongside stock prices. The Korean Composite Index and the FTSE Singapore Straits Index showed significant divergence in PE changes, reflecting adjustments in earnings expectations [9][16] - The report provides a comparative analysis of various global indices, indicating that most are above the 75th percentile in terms of valuation metrics, while the Indian SENSEX30 is below the median level since 2010 [16][19] A-share Valuation Tracking - A-shares showed a broad increase with a moderate expansion in valuations. The report notes that the CSI 500 was the only index to see a slight decline of -0.04%, while other indices experienced mild increases [27][31] - The valuation metrics for A-shares, including PE, PB, PS, and PCF, are mostly positioned in the 93%-99% percentile range for the past year, indicating a favorable valuation environment for large-cap value stocks [28][34] Industry and Sector Valuation Tracking - The report indicates that the upstream resource and support services sectors saw overall gains, while the downstream consumer sectors, particularly beauty care and pharmaceuticals, experienced notable declines [2][27] - The energy industry chain stood out with significant performance, particularly in the renewable energy and green productivity sectors, while biotechnology faced downturns [2][27] Valuation Comparisons - The report provides detailed comparisons of PE, PB, PS, and PCF ratios across various indices, indicating that most A-share indices are above the 75th percentile level, with the exception of the CSI 500 which is slightly below this threshold [31][39][41] - The valuation metrics suggest that growth stocks generally have higher PE ratios compared to value stocks, with small-cap stocks showing higher valuations than large-cap stocks [34][39]