China XD(SH:601179) Huaan Securities·2025-11-09 14:48Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 met expectations, with a significant improvement in gross margin [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 17.004 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.54%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 939 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.29% [4] - The company has secured contracts worth 5.066 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 29.27%, which is expected to support future performance [5] - The company is enhancing its international business management system and has won contracts for data center substation equipment in Malaysia [5] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.697 billion, 1.996 billion, and 2.359 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 30, 26, and 22 times [6] Financial Performance Summary - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.672 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.17%, and a net profit of 340 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.12% [4] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 22.14%, an increase of 1.66 percentage points year-on-year, while Q3 gross margin was 23.19%, a decrease of 0.55 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 22.281 billion yuan in 2024 to 32.516 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.1% [8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 1.054 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.359 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [8]