SINYUAN ZM(SZ:301398) Soochow Securities·2025-11-10 01:30Macro Strategy - The report indicates that China's October exports fell by 1.1% year-on-year, marking the first negative growth since March of this year, with a significant decline in exports to the US at -25.2% [5][6] - Exports to ASEAN showed resilience with a growth rate of 11.0%, while exports to the EU dropped to 0.9% [5] - Labor-intensive products saw substantial negative growth, with clothing, bags, and footwear down by 16.0%, 25.7%, and 21.0% respectively [5] - High-tech manufacturing exports remained strong, with mobile phone exports declining significantly to -16.6%, while integrated circuits, automobiles, and ships maintained positive growth rates of 26.9%, 34.0%, and 68.4% respectively [5] Industry Analysis - The report highlights that Xingyuan Zhuomei (301398) has received a project notification from a domestic electric vehicle manufacturer to develop magnesium alloy powertrain shell components, with expected sales of approximately 20.21 billion RMB over the next four years [11][12] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 0.78 billion, 1.54 billion, and 2.30 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, with current market valuations corresponding to PE ratios of 80, 41, and 27 respectively [11][12] - The report emphasizes that the company has a robust order backlog and anticipates that capacity release will continue to provide incremental growth [11][12] - The company plans to raise up to 450 million RMB through convertible bonds to invest in a project for producing 3 million sets of high-strength magnesium alloy precision components annually, with a total investment of 700 million RMB [12]