Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Damai Entertainment Holdings (1060.HK) with a target price of HK$1.30, representing an upside of 38.3% from the current price of HK$0.94 [1][4][20]. Core Insights - Damai Entertainment announced a positive profit alert for 1HFY26, with net profit attributable to owners expected to be no less than Rmb500 million, which is at least 7% above the forecasted Rmb468 million, indicating a year-on-year growth of over 49% [1]. - The significant growth in net profit is attributed to strong year-on-year growth in the Alifish business and a reduction in investment losses [1]. - For the upcoming 1HFY26E results, total revenue is forecasted to be Rmb3.7 billion, reflecting a 20% year-on-year increase, driven by an 84% growth in the IP segment [2]. - The IP segment is expected to benefit from strong contributions from Sanrio China and newly onboarded IPs, which are anticipated to double the GMV for AliFish [2]. - Adjusted EBITA is projected to be Rmb525 million, representing a 9% year-on-year increase when excluding a one-off write-back of bad debt from the Film segment in 1HFY25 [3]. - Key areas to monitor include the growth momentum of the IP business, updates on the Damai ticketing business, and margin dynamics for Damai's international business investments [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Damai Entertainment are as follows: Rmb6,702.3 million for FY25, Rmb7,620.5 million for FY26E, Rmb9,049.0 million for FY27E, and Rmb10,308.6 million for FY28E [7]. - EBITDA is expected to grow from Rmb756.2 million in FY25 to Rmb1,842.0 million by FY28E [7]. - The report anticipates a significant increase in EPS from Rmb0.02 in FY26E to Rmb0.05 in FY28E [7]. - The company is projected to achieve a net income margin of 14.2% by FY28E, up from 5.4% in FY25 [17].
大麦娱乐_初步解读_2026 财年上半年盈利预警积极_净利润增长 50% 以上，超高盛预期；买入