益丰药房(603939):头部连锁药房,稳健运营扩张维持增长动力

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is a leading chain pharmacy in China, with a strong market presence in Central South, East China, and South China regions. It is expected to enhance its industry position through refined operations and the development of a new retail system, maintaining steady growth in revenue and profit [4][34]. - The company has shown slight revenue growth and strong profit growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 17.286 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.225 billion yuan, up 10.3% year-on-year [1][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.564 billion yuan, a 2.0% year-on-year increase, and net profit of 345 million yuan, up 10.1% year-on-year. The company is experiencing a marginal improvement trend in both revenue and profit due to the clearing of closed stores and initial alleviation of industry competition pressure [1][9]. - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 40.4%, with a net margin of 7.6%. The retail business achieved a gross margin of 42.0%, while the franchise and distribution business had a gross margin of 10.9% [2][15]. Operational Efficiency - The company maintains stable expense ratios, with a sales expense ratio of 25.0%, a management expense ratio of 4.7%, and a financial expense ratio of 0.7%. This stability is attributed to the company's strong operational capabilities [2][15]. - The company has been focusing on high-margin non-pharmaceutical products, which are expected to continue increasing their revenue share, thereby enhancing overall gross margin [2][15]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is transitioning from a focus on scale to quality and efficiency in response to increasing demand driven by aging populations and healthcare spending. The company has established a "fleet-type" store network to enhance operational efficiency and customer loyalty [3][34]. - The company has a total of 14,666 stores as of Q3 2025, with a slight decrease in total store count compared to the end of 2024. The company is adjusting its store expansion strategy in response to industry trends [29][87]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 24.546 billion yuan, 27.292 billion yuan, and 30.444 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.0%, 11.2%, and 11.5% respectively. Net profit projections for the same period are 1.725 billion yuan, 2.007 billion yuan, and 2.316 billion yuan, with growth rates of 12.8%, 16.4%, and 15.4% respectively [4][5].