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三峡能源(600905):量价偏弱限制经营业绩,补贴落地改善现金预期

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - Despite a year-on-year increase in electricity generation in the third quarter, the company's revenue decreased by 2.40% to 6.545 billion yuan due to a greater impact from the decline in market electricity prices than from the increase in electricity generation [2][6] - The company's operating costs increased by 12.82% year-on-year, leading to a gross profit decline of 22.94% to 2.506 billion yuan [2][6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company fell by 52.87% year-on-year to 498 million yuan, primarily due to rising costs and asset impairment provisions [2][6] - The company experienced a 20.94% year-on-year increase in net cash flow from operating activities, amounting to 17.221 billion yuan, benefiting from accelerated renewable energy subsidy disbursements [2][6] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 6.545 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.40% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 498 million yuan, down 52.87% year-on-year [6][2] Cost Analysis - The company's operating costs reached 5.643 billion yuan in Q3, up 12.82% year-on-year, with management expenses increasing by 8.32% to 479 million yuan [2][6] Cash Flow and Future Outlook - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 17.221 billion yuan for the first three quarters, reflecting a 20.94% increase year-on-year, indicating improved cash flow conditions [2][6] - The company has a substantial reserve of projects, with an installed capacity under construction of 13.8178 million kilowatts as of mid-year, which is expected to support future performance recovery [2][6]