SANXING(SH:601567) Guoxin Securities·2025-11-11 07:06Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3]. Core Views - The company has experienced a 16% decline in performance over the first three quarters, with revenue at 11.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.19%, and a net profit of 1.528 billion yuan, down 15.85% year-on-year [9][3]. - The company is expected to gradually recover over the next six months as the negative factors in the domestic electric meter, distribution, and photovoltaic industries are largely exhausted [2][21]. - The recent opening of the third batch of electric meter tenders by the State Grid has led to a noticeable price recovery, benefiting leading electric meter companies [2][21]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with total orders amounting to 17.914 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.69%, and overseas distribution orders at 2.169 billion yuan, up 125.45% year-on-year [22][2]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters, the company reported a revenue of 11.08 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 28.46%, down 7.75 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 13.60%, down 3.87 percentage points year-on-year [9][21]. - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 3.108 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.56% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 28.42%, with a net profit of 298 million yuan, down 55.22% year-on-year and 59.74% quarter-on-quarter [21][17]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.875 billion, 2.473 billion, and 3.072 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20, 15, and 12 times [3][22].