ZZEPC(SH:600023) Zhongyuan Securities·2025-11-11 08:20Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a potential increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [10][32]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 23.342 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.68%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.718 billion yuan, down 1.87% year-on-year [4][5]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 58.814 billion yuan, a decline of 11.29% year-on-year, and a net profit of 6.230 billion yuan, down 6.96% year-on-year [4][5]. - The company has managed to generate a net cash flow from operating activities of 10.959 billion yuan, which is an increase of 11.31% year-on-year [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s gross profit margin stands at 13.03%, with a diluted return on equity of 8.30% [4]. - The company’s total assets are valued at 147.241 billion yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 43.93% [4][30]. Operational Highlights - The company completed a power generation of 1,352.34 billion kWh in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a growth of 4.7% year-on-year [5]. - The company’s coal-fired power generation accounted for 99.2% of its total output, with significant contributions from various power plants [5]. Cost Management - The company has effectively reduced financial expenses by 12.84% to 745 million yuan, and R&D expenses decreased by 37.34% to 199 million yuan [6]. - Sales and management expenses also saw reductions of 25.93% and 7.86%, respectively, indicating effective cost control measures [6]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 7.215 billion yuan, 7.546 billion yuan, and 7.942 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [10]. - The projected earnings per share for the same years are 0.54 yuan, 0.56 yuan, and 0.59 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 9.96X, 9.52X, and 9.05X [10].