AHHL(SH:600761) China Post Securities·2025-11-11 10:27Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [9][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 14.934 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.94%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4.88% to 1.121 billion yuan [3][4]. - The decline in net profit is primarily attributed to increased expenses, particularly in research and development, which correlates with the company's active development of new products in smart logistics and robotics [4]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 0.53 percentage points to 23.81%, while the expense ratio rose by 1.02 percentage points to 14.43% [4]. Company Overview - The company completed the acquisition of Anhui Jianghuai Heavy Industry Co., Ltd., which will enhance its competitive edge by eliminating intra-industry competition and integrating quality assets [5]. - A joint laboratory was established with Jianghuai's Innovation Center to focus on the research and development of robotics, with an expected investment of approximately 10 million yuan [6]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19.055 billion, 20.769 billion, and 22.475 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.98%, 9.00%, and 8.21% respectively [7]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1.410 billion, 1.544 billion, and 1.682 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 6.88%, 9.49%, and 8.95% respectively [7]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 12.89, 11.77, and 10.80 [9].