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许继电气(000400):业绩稳健增长,看好“十五五”柔直技术的应用提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in performance, with a focus on the application of flexible direct current technology during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4] - The company reported a revenue of 9.0 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1.4%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.9 billion yuan, an increase of 0.8% year-on-year [4] - The company's gross margin and net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 were 29% and 10.6%, respectively, with an overall increase in expense ratios impacting profitability [4] Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 185.8 billion yuan, 204.8 billion yuan, and 225.3 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 1.3 billion yuan, 1.5 billion yuan, and 1.8 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 23, 19, and 16 times [6] - The company’s revenue growth rates are expected to be 8.75%, 10.21%, and 9.99% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8] - The company’s asset-liability ratio is currently at 51.0%, with a projected decrease to 47.3% by 2025 [9] Market Opportunities - The application of flexible direct current technology is expected to enhance the company's market position, especially with recent government initiatives promoting high-proportion renewable energy consumption and technological innovation in the power grid [5]