Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to China Pacific Insurance (2328) with a target price of HKD 23.30, representing a 21.7% upside from the current price of HKD 18.62 [2][10]. Core Insights - The company is undergoing a structural transformation in its non-auto insurance business and is expanding internationally, which is expected to drive a second growth curve [5][8]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved insurance service revenue of CNY 385.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, with net profit rising by 50.5% to CNY 40.3 billion [5]. - The non-auto insurance segment has become a core growth engine, with original premium income reaching CNY 223.06 billion, accounting for 50.3% of total premiums [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total investment income of CNY 35.9 billion, a 33% increase year-on-year, with an annualized total investment return rate of 5.4%, up by 0.8 percentage points [5]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is HKD 2.575, reflecting a 14% increase from the previous estimate [2]. Non-Auto Insurance Business - The report highlights that the non-auto insurance business is expected to benefit from new regulatory policies aimed at improving profitability and cost efficiency [6]. - The company aims to maintain a combined cost ratio of less than 96% for auto insurance and 99% for non-auto insurance in 2025 [6]. International Expansion - The international strategy is designed to significantly increase overseas business within five years, focusing on supporting Chinese enterprises' global expansion, particularly in the new energy vehicle sector [7]. - The company has already established operations in Hong Kong and Thailand, with plans to expand into Europe and Southeast Asia [7]. Future Projections - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be CNY 51.5 billion, CNY 54.3 billion, and CNY 59.1 billion, respectively, indicating a growth trajectory of 60%, 5%, and 9% [8].
中国财险（02328）：新力量NewForce总第491期