中国海防（600764）：营收短期波动，盈利能力稳定：中国海防（600764）：

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company experienced short-term revenue fluctuations but maintained stable profitability. In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.925 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.8%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 154 million, up 3.43% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 117 million, an increase of 5.76% year-on-year. However, in Q3 2025, revenue dropped to 539 million, a year-on-year decrease of 24.49% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 38.26% [2][7][14]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.925 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 2.8%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 154 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.43%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 117 million, up 5.76% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 539 million, down 24.49% year-on-year and 38.26% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q3 was 60 million, a year-on-year decrease of 19.12% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.81% [2][7][14]. Inventory and Demand - The company’s inventory balance at the end of Q3 was 1.937 billion, an increase of 14.89% from the beginning of the period. The contract liabilities at the end of Q3 were 220 million, up 50.17% from the beginning of the period, indicating an increase in downstream demand [14]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 35.68%, an increase of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 8.37%, a decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the gross margin improved to 36.6%, up 2.52 percentage points year-on-year and 1.28 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin for Q3 was 10.98%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.29 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.91 percentage points [14]. Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are 290 million, 380 million, and 510 million, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios based on the current market capitalization are 75, 56, and 42 times. There is potential for upward adjustments in profit forecasts if downstream model releases exceed expectations [14].