SCTE(SH:600674) Changjiang Securities·2025-11-14 09:01Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [11] Core Views - The company, as a flagship hydropower platform in Sichuan, benefits significantly from its 48% stake in Yalong River Company and 20% stake in Dadu River Company, which are expected to contribute 88% and 9% respectively to the net profit in 2024 [2][5] - The growth of the company is closely tied to the operational schedule of Yalong River Company, with significant performance improvements expected from the recent capital expansions and new project launches [2][9] - The potential for dividend distribution is anticipated to increase as capital expenditure pressures ease and profitability improves [8][9] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has a unique resource advantage in the Yalong River, Dadu River, and Tianwan River basins, focusing on hydropower resource development and operation [5][25] - The company's performance is primarily driven by investment income, with Yalong River and Dadu River contributing significantly to net profits [5][31] Yalong River Company - Yalong River Company holds exclusive development rights in the Yalong River basin, with substantial growth potential due to ongoing and planned projects totaling 7.82 million kilowatts [6][40] - The company is expected to see a 273% increase in installed capacity by 2035, significantly enhancing its growth prospects [6][45] Dadu River Company - Dadu River Company is entering a new production cycle, with several projects expected to come online by 2026, contributing to a projected net profit increase of 38.79% in 2024 [7][9] Dividend Potential - The "investment distribution difference" between Yalong River and Dadu River is crucial for the company's profit allocation, with expectations for steady improvement in this area [8][9] Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from high electricity prices due to its significant inter-provincial power sales, which enhance overall revenue [54][55] - The company has a strong operational history, with past performance driven by the successful commissioning of hydropower stations [20][22]