Hubei Jianghan New Materials (SH:603281) Huaxin Securities·2025-11-16 13:01Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" investment rating for Jianghan New Materials [2][5]. Core Views - Jianghan New Materials is the largest silane coupling agent producer in China and the third largest globally, with a market share of nearly 20% [3][11]. - The demand for functional silanes is expected to rise due to emerging needs in new energy, photovoltaics, and semiconductors, which will likely drive price recovery [3][52]. - The company has a strong competitive edge due to low-cost advantages, high-quality customer resources, robust R&D capabilities, and ample cash flow [4][68]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Jianghan New Materials has over 20 years of experience in product R&D and operations, maintaining the largest market share in China and ranking among the top three globally [3][11]. - The company has a comprehensive "silicon powder-silane-high-end materials" integrated industrial chain, with over 100 varieties across 14 series of silane products [3][25]. 2. Demand Growth Drivers - The demand structure shows that silicone rubber accounts for the largest share at 32%, followed by composite materials at 18.5% and adhesives at 16.7% [42][44]. - The production of rubber tires, especially green tires, is expected to increase the demand for sulfur-containing silanes, with domestic new energy vehicle sales reaching 8.33 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.37% [51][52]. - The CAGR for new photovoltaic installations is projected at 14% from 2024 to 2028, which will boost the demand for high-end silanes in encapsulation films and backsheet materials [52]. 3. Competitive Advantages - The company has achieved significant cost control through large-scale production and a closed-loop chlorine element recycling process, with a gross margin of 27.91% in H1 2025 [4][69]. - Jianghan New Materials has established long-term framework agreements with several high-end clients, ensuring stable order fulfillment [4][74]. - R&D investment remains high, with R&D expenses accounting for 3.30% of revenue in H1 2025, reflecting a commitment to innovation [4][81]. 4. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 450 million, 595 million, and 698 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.20, 1.59, and 1.87 yuan per share [5][6]. - The report indicates that the company's profitability is expected to recover as the market for functional silanes begins to improve [5][68].