吉祥航空(603885):入境大市场,盈利高成长,扩大免签,入境游高增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The inbound tourism market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the expansion of visa-free policies, with a projected 52% year-on-year increase in visa-free foreign visitors from January to September 2025 [1]. - The company's revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 was 17.48 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year decline, with a net profit of 1.09 billion yuan, down 14% [2]. - The company is expected to benefit from high return on equity (ROE) and increased international capacity, with a projected ROE of 15.28% for 2026 [3]. Financial Data and Forecasts - Revenue is forecasted to grow from 20.1 billion yuan in 2023 to 27.9 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11.56% [5][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 751.3 million yuan in 2023 to 2.35 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [5][10]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.34 yuan in 2023 to 1.08 yuan in 2027 [5][10].