Macro Insights - The growth rate of general fiscal expenditure in October slowed down year-on-year, influenced by a high base effect, but the seasonally adjusted month-on-month growth continued to rise, indicating stronger growth in fiscal expenditure than the apparent rate [2][3] - The year-on-year growth rate of general fiscal expenditure (including general public budget and government funds) fell to -19.1% in October from 2.3% in September, while the adjusted month-on-month growth increased from 9.3% in September to 15.7% in October [2][3] Fixed Income Insights - In the second week of November, the real estate market showed a divergence between new and second-hand housing transactions, with new home sales slightly recovering but remaining low year-on-year, while second-hand home activity weakened [3] - Industrial freight volume remained strong, but production rates varied, with coking and blast furnace operating rates declining, while other sectors like oil refining and automotive remained stable [3] - The liquidity in the market was tight due to tax periods and the Double Eleven shopping festival, with the average DR007 and R007 rates rising to 1.49% and 1.50% respectively [4] REITs Analysis - The public REITs market experienced a downturn in the second half of the year due to high previous gains, stock market diversion, and rising interest rates, leading to a need for selective investment in quality assets [5] - Projects with stable fundamentals, such as rental housing and municipal environmental projects, are recommended for investment, while caution is advised for industrial parks and logistics warehouses [5] Power Equipment and New Energy - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued guidelines to promote the healthy development of the wind power equipment industry, encouraging companies to enhance green and intelligent levels [6] - The report suggests focusing on companies like Goldwind Technology and Mingyang Smart Energy, which are expected to benefit from improved profitability in wind turbine manufacturing [6] Key Company Insights - GaoNeng Environment is positioned for a performance release period due to ongoing upgrades and capacity ramp-up in its metal resource recycling projects, contributing significantly to its revenue [7] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) is expected to benefit from a recovery in the refining sector due to a global sulfur supply-demand imbalance, with a projected increase in sulfur consumption in 2024 [8][10]
华泰证券今日早参-20251118