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永兴股份(601033):Q3业绩延续高增长自由现金流进一步提升:永兴股份(601033):

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company continues to experience high growth in Q3 2025, with operating revenue reaching 1.186 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.36%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 284 million yuan, up 25.61% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [7] - The increase in performance is primarily driven by the co-incineration of municipal solid waste and continuous improvements in heating supply [7] - The company has seen a significant increase in cash flow, with net cash flow from operating activities amounting to 1.48 billion yuan in the first three quarters, an increase of 100 million yuan year-on-year [7] - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing development of data centers and the government's support, with expectations for increased collaboration with service providers to drive profit growth [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 3,536 million yuan in 2023, 3,765 million yuan in 2024, 4,126 million yuan in 2025E, 4,378 million yuan in 2026E, and 4,540 million yuan in 2027E, with corresponding growth rates of 7.38%, 6.45%, 9.58%, 6.12%, and 3.70% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 735 million yuan in 2023, 821 million yuan in 2024, 917 million yuan in 2025E, 1,022 million yuan in 2026E, and 1,130 million yuan in 2027E, with growth rates of 2.71%, 11.67%, 11.74%, 11.43%, and 10.64% respectively [6] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.82 yuan in 2023, 0.91 yuan in 2024, 1.02 yuan in 2025E, 1.14 yuan in 2026E, and 1.26 yuan in 2027E [6]