行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 2025 年 09 月 14 日 新能源就近消纳新机制发布 全球气 价涨跌互现 看好 ——申万公用环保周报(25/09/08~25/09/12) 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 研究支持 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 (8621)23297818× zhuhe@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 - ⚫ 电力：山东首个机制电价竞价结果公布，风电优于光伏。9 月 11 日，山东省国网新能源云公示了 2025 年度新能源机制电价竞价出清结果，竞价结果显示 ...

9月11日，永兴股份涨0.12%，成交额7186.06万元。两融数据显示，当日永兴股份获融资买入额680.85 万元，融资偿还478.76万元，融资净买入202.08万元。截至9月11日，永兴股份融资融券余额合计 9353.11万元。 融资方面，永兴股份当日融资买入680.85万元。当前融资余额9330.46万元，占流通市值的2.39%，融资 余额超过近一年50%分位水平，处于较高位。 融券方面，永兴股份9月11日融券偿还1300.00股，融券卖出400.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 6520.00元；融券余量1.39万股，融券余额22.66万元，低于近一年20%分位水平，处于低位。 资料显示，广州环投永兴集团股份有限公司位于广东省广州市越秀区流花路121号越秀国际会议中心南 塔10楼，成立日期2009年5月21日，上市日期2024年1月18日，公司主营业务涉及聚焦于垃圾焚烧发电业 务,并逐步拓展生物质处理业务。主营业务收入构成为：项目运营98.91%，其他(补充)1.09%。 截至6月30日，永兴股份股东户数3.04万，较上期减少25.45%；人均流通股7894股，较上期增加 34.14%。2025年 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.065 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.60%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 461 million yuan, up 9.32% year-on-year. In Q2 alone, the company recorded operating revenue of 1.160 billion yuan, a 28.11% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 265 million yuan, growing 21.17% year-on-year [2][6] - The acceleration of the co-incineration of aged waste has led to a 28.3% increase in waste processing volume in the first half of the year. The company processed 5.3583 million tons of municipal waste, significantly enhancing the capacity utilization of waste-to-energy projects [12] - The company's gross profit margin improved by 0.7 percentage points, while the expense ratio decreased by 4.3 percentage points, indicating operational efficiency [12] - Capital expenditures have continued to decline, with healthy cash flow maintained. The company’s cash collection ratio was 100.8%, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 1.2 percentage points [12] - The company possesses several advantages over its peers, justifying a higher valuation, including high-quality project locations, low national subsidy ratios, and strong cash flow performance [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 4.198 billion yuan, with net profits of 932 million yuan, reflecting a PE ratio of 15.1x [17] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 43.4%, with a significant contribution from the co-incineration of aged waste [12] Operational Insights - The company has actively expanded its waste processing services, leading to a notable increase in waste processing volume and energy generation [12] - The reduction in capital expenditures is attributed to the completion of ongoing projects, with future capital spending expected to decline further [12] Valuation and Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 930 million yuan, 1.04 billion yuan, and 1.11 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio decreasing to 12.7x by 2027 [12][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 18.67 [7][5]. Core Views - The company has shown significant profit growth, with a 21% increase in net profit in Q2, driven by an increase in waste processing volume and electricity generation [1]. - The company is focusing on expanding its waste processing capabilities, particularly in municipal solid waste and industrial waste, which is expected to sustain double-digit net profit growth from 2025 to 2027 [1][4]. - The operational efficiency has improved, with a gross margin of 43.36% in H1 2025, and a notable reduction in financial expenses due to loan repayments and lower interest rates [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of RMB 2.065 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.60%, and a net profit of RMB 461 million, up 9.32% year-on-year [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue reached RMB 1.160 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.11% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 28.18% [1]. - The company reported a net profit of RMB 265 million in Q2 2025, which is a 21.17% increase year-on-year and a 34.61% increase quarter-on-quarter [1]. Operational Highlights - The company processed 5.3583 million tons of waste in H1 2025, an increase of 28.3% year-on-year, primarily due to stable growth in incoming municipal solid waste [3]. - The electricity generated was 2.576 billion kWh, with grid-connected electricity increasing by 9.4% year-on-year [3]. - The company has expanded its waste sources, including industrial solid waste and municipal sludge, and has successfully increased its operational scale through acquisitions [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to have earnings per share (EPS) of RMB 1.02, 1.15, and 1.29 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5]. - The report assigns a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.3 for 2025, based on the company's strong profitability and commitment to a dividend payout ratio of no less than 60% [5].

Core Viewpoint - The latest holdings of the social security fund have been revealed, showing significant changes in stock positions as of June 30, 2025, following the completion of the semi-annual reports of listed companies [2]. Group 1: Top Holdings - The top ten stocks held by the social security fund, along with their holding ratios and changes, include: - Andar Intelligent: 11.90% (-1.53%) in specialized equipment manufacturing [3] - Changshu Bank: 8.38% (-0.05%) in monetary financial services [3] - Biyinlefen: 7.37% (-0.98%) in textile, clothing, and accessories [3] - Bai'ao Intelligent: 7.23% (new entry) in specialized equipment manufacturing [4] - Weixing Co.: 7.08% (+0.45%) in textile, clothing, and accessories [4] - Hehe Information: 7.00% (-0.27%) in software and information technology services [4] - Shantui Co.: 6.87% (+0.90%) in specialized equipment manufacturing [4] - Yongxing Co.: 6.53% (+4.30%) in ecological protection and environmental governance [4] - Xice Testing: 6.36% (-1.53%) in professional technical services [4] - Keri International: 6.30% (+0.60%) in business services [4] Group 2: New Holdings - New stock positions taken by the social security fund include: - Bai'ao Intelligent: 456.86 million shares (7.23%) in specialized equipment manufacturing [5] - Nossger: 217.08 million shares (3.80%) in research and experimental development [5] - Zhongchumei: 320.00 million shares (3.45%) in chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing [5] - Beiding Co.: 1,000.00 million shares (3.16%) in electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing [5] - Ugreen Technology: 100.00 million shares (3.01%) in computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing [5] - Sutest: 1,486.20 million shares (2.94%) in professional technical services [5] Group 3: Increased Holdings - The stocks with increased holdings by the social security fund include: - Yongxing Co.: 6.53% (+4.30%) in ecological protection and environmental governance [8] - Jiangshan Co.: 5.53% (+3.44%) in chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing [8] - Three squirrels: 3.78% (+2.79%) in retail [8] - Juhe Materials: 5.87% (+2.42%) in computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing [8] - Sanwei Chemical: 4.77% (+2.38%) in chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing [8] - Rujing Technology: 5.27% (+2.32%) in electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing [8] - Ziyou Intelligent-U: 4.12% (+2.12%) in pharmaceutical manufacturing [8] - Guoyao Co.: 4.03% (+1.95%) in wholesale [10] - Jinchengxin: 5.06% (+1.54%) in mining auxiliary activities [10] - Dingdian Software: 2.54% (+1.54%) in software and information technology services [10]

Core Viewpoint - Yongxing Co., Ltd. achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 461 million yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.32%, driven by both organic growth and external mergers and acquisitions [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 461 million yuan, reflecting a 9.32% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The capital expenditure has narrowed, leading to a positive free cash flow, with dividends remaining stable at over 60% [1] Group 2: Operational Highlights - Yongxing Co. actively expanded its operations in co-incineration of municipal solid waste, with over 800,000 tons of waste co-incinerated in the first half of the year, resulting in a continuous improvement in capacity utilization [1] - The company completed the acquisition of a controlling stake in Jiejin Company by May 2025, increasing its shareholding to 90% and consolidating it into its financial statements, which enhanced its total waste incineration power processing capacity to 34,690 tons per day [1] Group 3: Market Position and Outlook - The company is a leader in solid waste treatment in Guangzhou, with stable profitability in its main business, and the co-incineration of municipal solid waste is expected to further enhance capacity utilization and provide upward elasticity for performance [1] - The ongoing implementation of waste disposal policies is expected to improve the payment capabilities of local governments, which may positively impact the company's cash collection situation [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady growth in performance, driven by multi-source solid waste treatment and cost reduction, with a revenue of 2.065 billion yuan and a net profit of 461 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13% and 9% respectively [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 2.065 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 461 million yuan, up 9% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company maintained healthy cash flow from operating activities, with a net amount of 926 million yuan, laying a solid foundation for high-quality development [2]. Business Expansion - The company completed a 41% equity acquisition of Shanxi Jiejin Company, increasing its stake to 90%, thereby expanding its business footprint into Shanxi Province [3]. - The company provided a total of 88,300 tons of steam to surrounding industrial enterprises during the reporting period, indicating continuous growth in its heating business [3]. Shareholder Returns - The company has implemented a cash dividend distribution for the 2024 fiscal year, with a payout of 6.00 yuan (including tax) per 10 shares, totaling 540 million yuan, which accounts for 65.81% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024, ranking among the top in the industry [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that the stockpiled waste excavation projects will provide a clear source of waste volume growth over the next 2-3 years, while the planning and construction of heating pipelines and potential green electricity supply collaborations for data centers may open new growth opportunities in the long term [3]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve operating revenues of 4.136 billion yuan, 4.483 billion yuan, and 4.704 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.86%, 8.39%, and 4.94% respectively, and net profits of 920 million yuan, 1.049 billion yuan, and 1.124 billion yuan, with growth rates of 12.07%, 14.08%, and 7.17% respectively [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth driven by both organic growth and external acquisitions, with a 12.60% year-on-year increase in revenue to 2.065 billion yuan and a 9.32% increase in net profit to 461 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [1][3] - The total amount of waste processed in the company's waste incineration power generation projects reached 5.3583 million tons, with power generation of 2.576 billion kWh, indicating robust growth across various metrics [3] - The company has successfully expanded its heating scale and is exploring new heating solutions, providing a total of 88,300 tons of steam to surrounding industrial enterprises [3] - Cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures have led to a gross margin increase to 43.36%, while financial expenses decreased by 21.86% year-on-year [3] - The company is expected to maintain stable dividends above 60%, with projected revenues of 4.134 billion yuan, 4.387 billion yuan, and 4.751 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][4] Financial Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 926 million yuan, a 1.97% increase year-on-year [3] - The company's gross margin is projected to be 42.5% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.6% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.04 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.46x [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Yongxing Co., Ltd. has achieved significant revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, driven by increased waste processing capacity and operational efficiency, leading to a "buy" rating from Dongwu Securities [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.065 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.60%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 461 million yuan, up 9.32% [2]. - The gross margin for the waste incineration power generation business was 43.3%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.54 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company achieved a free cash flow of 670 million yuan, representing a 34.0% increase year-on-year, indicating strong cash flow health [4]. Operational Highlights - The company operates 16 waste incineration power generation projects with a total capacity of 34,690 tons per day, all of which are operational [2]. - The total waste processed by the incineration projects reached 5.3583 million tons in H1 2025, with a capacity utilization rate of 84.6% [2]. - The company has expanded its waste processing services by incorporating various waste types, significantly enhancing the utilization rate of its incineration projects [3]. Strategic Initiatives - Yongxing Co., Ltd. is actively pursuing external project expansions and acquisitions to enhance its operational scale and regional presence, including increasing its stake in Jiejin Company from 49% to 90% [3]. - The company is also focusing on combined heat and power generation, with steam supply to surrounding industrial enterprises reaching 88,300 tons in H1 2025 [3]. Future Outlook - The company maintains a positive outlook for net profit growth, projecting net profits of 917 million yuan, 1.017 billion yuan, and 1.087 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 11.7%, 11.0%, and 6.9% [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.065 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.6%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 461 million yuan, up 9.32% year-on-year [7] - The increase in capacity and improvement in waste processing volume, along with a 9.4% increase in grid electricity, supported the performance growth [7] - The company operates 16 waste incineration power generation projects with a total capacity of 34,690 tons/day, and has fully operational biomass treatment projects with a capacity of 2,890 tons/day [7] - The company has actively expanded its business scale and geographic reach through project expansion and acquisitions, enhancing operational management and resource integration [7] - Free cash flow increased by 34.0%, and the debt-to-asset ratio decreased to 57.9% [7] - The company maintains a strong cash flow position and is expected to have a long-term dividend capability [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 3.536 billion yuan, with a projected growth of 7.38% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A is forecasted at 734.83 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.71% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is expected to be 0.82 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 20.02 [1] - The company’s operating cash flow for 2025E is projected to be 2.347 billion yuan, with a net profit of 917 million yuan [8]