零跑汽车（09863）：Q3维持正盈利，新品周期强势

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a quarterly revenue of 19.45 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 97.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36.7% [7] - The company reported a net profit attributable to equity holders of 150 million yuan in Q3 2025, a significant improvement from a loss of 690 million yuan in Q3 2024 and a profit of 160 million yuan in Q2 2025 [7] - The company’s Q3 sales volume reached 174,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 107.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.6% [7] - The average selling price (ASP) for the company was 112,000 yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 4.8% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.4% [7] - The gross margin for Q3 was 14.5%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.4 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.9 percentage points [7] - The company’s sales, management, and R&D expense ratios improved to 4.9%, 3.2%, and 6.2% respectively, compared to the previous year [7] - The company has expanded its sales service network to cover 292 cities with 866 sales outlets as of the end of September 2025 [7] - The company exported 17,000 vehicles in Q3 2025, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36% [7] - The company plans to launch its Lafa5 model overseas in Q2 2026 and is actively pursuing local production capabilities in Malaysia and Europe [7] Financial Projections - The total revenue forecast for the company is projected to reach 65.8 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 104.58% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 693.83 million yuan in 2025, with a significant year-on-year increase of 124.60% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.49 yuan in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 103.14 [1] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve to 15% in 2025 [8] - The company’s asset-liability ratio is projected to be 77.45% in 2025 [8]