北方国际(000065):2025三季报点评:Q3 归母净利润承压,经营现金流显著改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the company, with a target price of 15.76 CNY, reflecting a PE ratio of 21.9 times for 2025 [3][10]. Core Insights - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 19.5% in Q3, while the gross profit margin improved year-on-year. Operating cash flow showed significant improvement, and both coking coal and wind power projects are operating stably. The company plans to continue expanding its overseas high-quality power asset layout [2][4][5]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue was 9.92 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 29.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 485 million CNY, down 36.0% year-on-year. The gross profit margin was 14.2%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 4.9%, a decrease of 0.47 percentage points [4][5]. - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was 900 million CNY, a significant improvement compared to a negative cash flow of 460 million CNY in the same period of 2024 [5]. - The company signed new project contracts worth 470 million USD in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 39%, with Q3 showing a 7.1% increase year-on-year [5][6]. Future Outlook - The company is actively expanding its overseas high-quality power asset layout and exploring new revenue channels such as green certificate trading and virtual power plants. The EPC construction progress of the coal-fired power plant project in Bangladesh is nearly complete, with plans to enhance investment in energy storage projects [6][7].