浙江自然（605080）：2025Q3经营阶段性承压，水上用品预计快速增长且盈利爬坡顺利

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [1][6] Core Insights - The company experienced a revenue growth of 3.48% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 818 million yuan, while the net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 12.06% to 182 million yuan [2][4] - The third quarter of 2025 saw a significant decline in revenue, dropping by 30.38% year-on-year to 133 million yuan, and a net profit decrease of 40.63% to 37 million yuan [4][6] - The company is expected to see rapid growth in its water sports products, with profitability improving steadily, despite facing challenges in the insulated hard box market due to increased competition and tariffs [6][4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the gross profit margin decreased by 1.30 percentage points to 34.00%, with a third-quarter margin of 28.23%, down 1.07 percentage points year-on-year [5][4] - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters improved significantly, with a net cash flow of 251 million yuan, up 39.23% year-on-year [5][4] - The company’s inventory as of the end of Q3 2025 was 231 million yuan, an increase of 11.31% year-on-year, with inventory turnover days rising by 19 days to 130 days [5][4] Future Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 1.074 billion yuan in 2025, with net profit expected to be 210 million yuan, reflecting a growth trajectory for the following years [6][9] - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 16.1, 13.9, and 12.9 times, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [6][9]