东北固收转债分析:茂莱转债定价:首日转股溢价率40%~45%
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide an industry - wide investment rating. 2. Report's Core View - The target price of Maolai Convertible Bond on the first trading day is expected to be between 133 - 137 yuan, and investors are advised to actively subscribe. The expected first - day conversion premium rate is in the range of 40% - 45% [3][22]. - The expected first - day new - bond subscription winning rate is around 0.0018% - 0.0026% [4][23]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Maolai Convertible Bond New - Bond Subscription Analysis and Investment Recommendations 3.1.1 Convertible Bond Basic Terms Analysis - The issuance method of Maolai Convertible Bond is priority placement and online issuance, with both the bond and the issuer rated A+. The issuance scale is 563 million yuan, the initial conversion price is 364.43 yuan. As of November 20, 2025, the conversion parity is 94.67 yuan, the pure bond value is 83.19 yuan. The game terms (down - revision, redemption, and put - back terms) are normal. Overall, the bond issuance scale is average, liquidity is average, the rating is weak, and the bond floor protection is acceptable. It is difficult for institutions to include it in their portfolios, but there is no objection to primary participation [2][18]. 3.1.2 New - Bond Initial Listing Price Analysis - The company mainly engages in the R & D, design, manufacturing, and sales of precision optical devices, optical lenses, and optical systems. After deducting issuance fees, 420 million yuan is planned for the ultra - precision optical production and processing project, 120 million yuan for the ultra - precision optical technology R & D center project, and 20 million yuan for working capital. The project is expected to expand the company's mass - production capacity in the ultra - precision optical device and lens fields and increase its market share in the semiconductor ultra - precision optical segment [3][21]. 3.1.3 Convertible Bond New - Bond Subscription Winning Rate Analysis - Assuming the old shareholders' placement ratio is 63% - 74%, the scale available for the market is 146 million - 208 million yuan. Assuming the online effective subscription volume is 8.08 million accounts, the winning rate is expected to be around 0.0018% - 0.0026% [4][23]. 3.2 Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 3.2.1 Company's Main Business and Industry Upstream and Downstream - Maolai Optics is a precision optical integrated solution provider, focusing on R & D, design, manufacturing, and sales of precision optical devices, lenses, and systems. The upstream of the optical industry is mainly optical raw material manufacturing, with optical glass having the largest market share (about 70% in a 3 - billion - yuan market in 2024). The company's products are mainly used in industrial - grade precision optics, with downstream industries including semiconductors, life sciences, AR/VR testing, and unmanned driving [24][25]. 3.2.2 Company's Operating Conditions - From 2022 to H1 2025, the company's operating income was 439 million yuan, 458 million yuan, 503 million yuan, and 319 million yuan respectively, with year - on - year growth rates of 32.36%, 4.4%, 9.78%, and 32.26%. The comprehensive gross margin fluctuated slightly, and the net profit margin also had fluctuations. The company's R & D expenses trended upward, while accounts receivable increased, and the accounts receivable turnover rate generally declined. The net profit attributable to the parent company was relatively stable [27][30][31]. 3.2.3 Company's Equity Structure and Major Subsidiaries - As of June 30, 2025, Maolai Holdings is the largest shareholder with a 59.47% stake, and Fan Yi is the second - largest shareholder with a 3.41% stake. The top two shareholders hold a total of 62.88% of the shares, and the top ten shareholders hold 74.89% in total. Fan Yi and Fan Hao are the joint actual controllers, directly and indirectly controlling 66.29% of the shares [4][44]. 3.2.4 Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has advantages in technology R & D, capital, customer resources, and talent. The precision optical industry has high barriers in technology, capital, customer resources, and talent, which are difficult for new entrants to overcome [47][51][52]. 3.2.5 Allocation of This Round of Raised Funds - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 563 million yuan. After deducting issuance fees, 420 million yuan is for the ultra - precision optical production and processing project, 120 million yuan for the ultra - precision optical technology R & D center project, and 20 million yuan for working capital [16][54].