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AI沦为暗线?从商业航天入手“十五五”投资机会!
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-16 10:24
最近AI泡沫论不但未消退,反而鬼故事越来越多,市场情绪更为敏感,经过谷歌卷大模型和芯片,甲骨文财报杀跌和博通AI毛利率下降等多轮利空的持 续打压,海外AI科技板块跌得让大多数投资者都慌了神,有人直呼"AI泡沫破了",有人觉得AI主线变暗线了…… 不过这并非AI产业不行了,只是叠加美联储降息不确定性,市场仍在挤AI科技的估值泡沫,长期来看全球AI产业变革时代的底层逻辑和产业趋势不变。 实际上目前市场热炒的商业航天本质也是太空数据中心,核聚变电力设备新能源都聚焦在AI电力,人形机器人、无人驾驶和端侧AI还是AI技术赋能…… 这些市场热炒的题材明线背后都是AI暗线。 最近商业航天、光刻机、核聚变等一众科技赛道轮番活跃,那么到底谁能成为十五五新质生产力的最强主角?今天我们给大家依次讲清楚。 01 十五五七大科技方向投资机会概览 1.商业航天:政策+需求+技术三重共振,跨年主线实锤 十五五把"航天强国"写进战略目标,国家航天局还专门设了商业航天司,发了三年行动计划,甚至搞了国家商业航天发展基金,政策力度直接拉满。 需求端更是刚需:国际上低轨卫星资源"先到先得",我国GW星座、千帆星座合计规划上万颗卫星,现在在轨的还不到 ...
A股光刻胶板块拉升
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-16 06:12
格隆汇12月16日|A股市场光刻胶板块拉升,其中,沃格光电、波长光电涨超6%,芯源微、茂莱光学 涨超4%,永新光学、中船特气涨超3%。 ...
转债市场周报:部分发行人展现较强转股意愿-20251215
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-15 01:15
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (December 8 - December 12), the A - share market was volatile. Two important meetings boosted market risk appetite, and trading volume increased. AI hardware and commercial aerospace led the gains, while coal and petroleum and petrochemical sectors lagged. The bond market slightly recovered, with the 10 - year Treasury bond yield at 1.84% on Friday, down 0.84bp from the previous week. The convertible bond market had most individual bonds closing lower, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index up 0.20% for the week, the median price up 0.10%, and the calculated arithmetic average parity down 0.35%. The overall conversion premium rate increased by 2.20% compared to the previous week [1][6][7]. - Some issuers showed a strong willingness to convert. The convertible bond market followed the stock market's volatility last week. Despite the significant adjustment of the micro - cap stock index, the CSI Convertible Bond Index closed slightly higher, showing strong resilience and improved trading volume. Several issuers of near - maturing convertible bonds proposed downward revisions, and the pricing after the proposed downward revisions varied based on the remaining term and industry fundamentals [2][15]. - Looking ahead, with the end - of - year important meetings and the Fed's rate cut settled, the market will enter a policy vacuum period. Relative return investors are advised to make small - position balanced allocations of non - redeemable and appropriately - priced equity - biased convertible bonds in sectors such as power, storage, semiconductor equipment and materials for domestic substitution, commercial aerospace, and humanoid robots. Absolute return investors should focus on high - volatility stocks under 130 yuan or industry leaders with historically low valuations in sectors like two - wheeled vehicles, cosmetics, and breeding [2][15]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Market Focus (December 8 - December 12) Stock Market - A - shares were volatile. The trading volume exceeded 2 trillion on Monday and Friday. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.54% on Monday, fell 0.37% on Tuesday, fell 0.23% on Wednesday, fell 0.7% on Thursday, and rose 0.41% on Friday. The Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.39% on Monday, fell 0.39% on Tuesday, rose 0.29% on Wednesday, fell 1.27% on Thursday, and rose 0.84% on Friday. The ChiNext Index rose 2.6% on Monday, rose 0.61% on Tuesday, fell 0.02% on Wednesday, fell 1.41% on Thursday, and rose 0.97% on Friday [1][6]. - Most Shenwan primary industries closed lower. Communication (6.27%), national defense and military industry (2.80%), electronics (2.63%), machinery and equipment (1.38%), and power equipment (1.19%) led the gains, while coal (-3.64%), petroleum and petrochemical (-3.52%), steel (-2.89%), and real estate (-2.62%) lagged [7]. Bond Market - After the Politburo meeting and the Central Economic Work Conference, the moderately loose monetary policy remained unchanged, and inflation data showed a continued price improvement trend. The bond market slightly recovered, with the 10 - year Treasury bond yield at 1.84% on Friday, down 0.84bp from the previous week [1][7]. Convertible Bond Market - Most individual convertible bonds closed lower. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.20% for the week, the median price rose 0.10%, and the arithmetic average parity fell 0.35%. The overall conversion premium rate increased by 2.20%. The arithmetic average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds with parities in [90,100), [100,110), and [110,120) changed by +2.09%, -1.73%, and +0.20%, respectively, and were at the 94%, 96%, and 89% quantiles since 2023 [1][7]. - Most convertible bond industries closed lower. Building materials (+6.14%), national defense and military industry (+4.27%), power equipment (+1.25%), and beauty care (+0.94%) led the gains, while social services (-2.32%), coal (-2.12%), commercial and retail (-1.52%), and basic chemicals (-1.31%) lagged [8]. - The top - rising individual convertible bonds were Zai 22 (commercial aerospace), Huamao (computing power), Weidao (semiconductor equipment), Jize (green alcohol), and Hangyu (commercial aerospace). The top - falling individual convertible bonds were Yingbo (low - altitude economy & announced strong redemption), Hongtu (satellite application), Huarui (CNC cutting tools), Sanfang (polyester chips), and Yake (automobile aluminum) [1][10]. - The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 285.692 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 57.138 billion yuan, an increase from the previous week [13]. Valuation - As of December 12, 2025, for equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates for parities in the ranges of 80 - 90 yuan, 90 - 100 yuan, 100 - 110 yuan, 110 - 120 yuan, 120 - 130 yuan, and above 130 yuan were 45.18%, 34.97%, 27.88%, 20.1%, 10.88%, and 13.62%, respectively, at the 94%/90%, 94%/95%, 94%/95%, 91%/90%, 70%/53%, and 97%/98% quantiles since 2010/2021. - For debt - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM for parities below 70 yuan was -3.48%, at the 2%/6% quantiles since 2010/2021. - The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds was 43.46%, at the 88%/91% quantiles since 2010/2021. The difference between the convertible bond's implied volatility and the stock's long - term actual volatility was 2.31%, at the 84%/85% quantiles since 2010/2021 [16]. Primary Market Tracking New Issuance and Listing - Last week (December 8 - December 12), Aohong, Shenyu, Tianzhun, and Dingjie convertible bonds announced issuance, while Maolai and Ruike convertible bonds were listed. - Aohong Convertible Bond (111024.SH): The underlying stock is Aohong Electronics (605058.SH), in the electronics industry. The issuance scale is 580 million yuan, with a credit rating of AA -. The funds will be used for the construction of a production base in Thailand [23]. - Shenyu Convertible Bond (123262.SZ): The underlying stock is Shenyu Co., Ltd. (300563.SZ), in the communication industry. The issuance scale is 500 million yuan, with a credit rating of AA -. The funds will be used for the construction of data lines in the intelligent field [24]. - Tianzhun Convertible Bond (118062.SH): The underlying stock is Tianzhun Technology (688003.SH), in the machinery and equipment industry. The issuance scale is 872 million yuan, with a credit rating of AA -. The funds will be used for R & D and industrialization projects in industrial vision equipment, semiconductor metrology equipment, and intelligent driving and embodied intelligent controllers [25][26]. - Dingjie Convertible Bond (123263.SZ): The underlying stock is Dingjie Digital Intelligence (300378.SZ), in the computer industry. The issuance scale is 828 million yuan, with a credit rating of AA. The funds will be used for the Dingjie Digital Intelligence Ecological Empowerment Platform project and to supplement working capital [27]. - Maolai Convertible Bond (118061.SH): The underlying stock is Maolai Optics (688502.SH), in the electronics industry. The issuance scale is 563 million yuan, with a credit rating of A+. The funds will be used for ultra - precision optical production and processing projects, ultra - precision optical technology R & D centers, and to supplement working capital [28]. - Ruike Convertible Bond (118060.SH): The underlying stock is Ruike Da (688800.SH), in the electronics industry. The issuance scale is 1 billion yuan, with a credit rating of AA -. The funds will be used for the renovation and upgrade of high - frequency and high - speed connection systems, intelligent energy connection systems, and to supplement working capital [29]. Future Issuance and Listing - As of December 12, there were no announcements of convertible bond issuances or listings for the next week (December 15 - December 19). - Last week, one company (Shuangle Co., Ltd.) was approved for registration, two companies (Tonglian Precision and Xianghe Industry) passed the listing committee review, three companies (Suzhou Tianmai, Baoti Co., Ltd., and Zhongqi Co., Ltd.) were accepted by the exchange, and two companies (Hubei Yihua and Zhaomin Technology) passed the shareholders' meeting. There were no new board - proposed enterprises. - As of now, there are 92 convertible bonds waiting to be issued, with a total scale of 146.43 billion yuan, including 3 approved for registration with a total scale of 2.5 billion yuan and 9 that have passed the listing committee review with a total scale of 9.99 billion yuan [30].
茂莱光学(688502):可转债发行上市,加码深紫外光学器件商业化
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-12 13:41
上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 市场数据: 2025 年 12 月 12 日 收盘价(元) 378.00 一年内最高/最低(元) 490.09/183.00 市净率 16.6 股息率%(分红/股价) 0.09 上证指数/深证成指 3,889.35/13,258.33 注:"股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产(元) | 22.80 | | 资产负债率% | 23.28 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 53/17 | | 流通 B 股/H 股(百万) | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势: -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 12-12 01-12 02-12 03-12 04-12 05-12 06-12 07-12 08-12 09-12 10-12 11-12 12-12 茂莱光学 沪深300指数 (收益率) 相关研究 《茂莱光学(688502)点评:国产替代催 化核心标的,业绩增速触底回升》 2024/10/27 证券分析师 杨海晏 A023 ...
可转债迎发行小高峰 新券上市延续火热
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-12-11 18:37
Group 1 - The convertible bond market is experiencing a surge in new issuances, with five new bonds set to be offered for online subscription, indicating a strong demand despite a shrinking market size [1][4] - The newly listed Maolai Convertible Bond saw a significant increase of nearly 70% in its first two days of trading, highlighting the market's enthusiasm for new offerings [1][2] - The overall market for convertible bonds has contracted significantly, with a reduction of over 170 billion yuan since 2025, leading to a current market size of 560.6 billion yuan, down from 733.7 billion yuan at the beginning of the year [7][8] Group 2 - The Maolai Convertible Bond, issued by Maolai Optics, has a total issuance size of 562.5 million yuan and is part of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, which has attracted considerable market interest [3][6] - Upcoming convertible bonds include those from Pulin, Shenyu, Aohong, Tianzhun, and Dingjie, with a focus on technology and digital solutions [5][6] - The scarcity of new convertible bonds is evident, with only three companies currently approved for issuance by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, indicating a tight supply in the market [7][8]
突然!“救市”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 08:19
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations, with the Fujian sector showing strength and the Korean National Pension Service selling US dollars to support the Korean won [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 9, the A-share market showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.39%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.61% [5][20]. - The computing hardware stocks continued to perform strongly, with companies like Dekeli and Yueling shares hitting the daily limit [6][21]. Group 2: Fujian Sector - The Fujian sector is gaining momentum, with over ten stocks, including Anji Food and Longzhou Co., hitting the daily limit. This is driven by the release of the 15th Five-Year Plan for economic and social development in Quanzhou, which emphasizes the construction of new infrastructure and digital transformation [20][22]. - The plan includes initiatives to optimize the layout of new infrastructure related to networks, computing power, and data, aiming to create a modern, efficient information network [22][23]. Group 3: Korean National Pension Service - The Korean National Pension Service (NPS) has been selling US dollars as part of a tactical foreign exchange hedging strategy to counter the recent depreciation of the Korean won. As of the end of September, NPS held approximately $542 billion in overseas assets [2][18]. - The maximum hedging ratio for NPS is about 15%, equivalent to approximately $81.3 billion, with tactical foreign exchange hedging allowing for adjustments within a ±5% range of its overseas asset portfolio [2][18]. Group 4: Polysilicon Market - On December 9, polysilicon futures contracts saw a significant increase, indicating a bullish trend in the market [26][28]. - The establishment of Beijing Guanghe Qiancheng Technology Co., Ltd., with a registered capital of 3 billion yuan, aims to explore strategic cooperation opportunities within the industry, potentially impacting polysilicon supply and pricing dynamics [29].
A股收评:沪指下跌0.37%,CPO概念领涨,贵金属、煤炭板块大跌
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-09 07:33
12月9日,A股三大指数涨跌不一,沪指跌0.37%,深证成指跌0.39%,创业板指涨0.61%。全市场成交额1.92万亿元, 较前一交易日缩量1340亿元,超4000股下跌。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 3909.52 | -14.56 | -0.37% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | 13277.36 | -52.63 | -0.39% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | 3209.60 | +19.33 | +0.61% | 盘面上,海南板块走低,新大洲A跌停;医药商业板块下挫,瑞康医药、海王生物跌停;贵金属板块走弱,中金黄金 领跌;煤炭、钢铁、有色金属等板块跌幅居前。另一方面,CPO概念反复活跃,德科立20CM涨停;商业百货板块走 高,永辉超市、中央商场等多股涨停;元件、影视院线、乳业等板块上涨。 具体来看: 海南板块大幅调整,新大洲A跌停,康芝药业、海南海药、欣龙控股跌超7%,神农种业、罗牛山、海马汽车、海南瑞 泽等纷纷下跌。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 · | ...
茂莱光学(688502) - 南京茂莱光学科技股份有限公司向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券上市公告书
2025-12-07 07:45
股票简称:茂莱光学 证券代码:688502 南京茂莱光学科技股份有限公司 MLOPTIC Corp. (江苏省南京市江宁区经济技术开发区铺岗街 398 号) 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券 上市公告书 保荐机构(主承销商) 中国国际金融股份有限公司 (住所:北京市朝阳区建国门外大街 1 号国贸大厦 2 座 27 层及 28 层) 二〇二五年十二月 | | | | | | 第一节 重要声明与提示 南京茂莱光学科技股份有限公司(以下简称"茂莱光学"、"发行人"、"公司"或 "本公司")全体董事和高级管理人员保证上市公告书的真实性、准确性、完整性,承 诺上市公告书不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏,并承担个别和连带的法律责 任。 根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司法》")、《中华人民共和国证券 法》(以下简称"《证券法》")等有关法律、法规的规定,本公司董事、高级管理人员 已依法履行诚信和勤勉尽责的义务和责任。 中国证券监督管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会")、上海证券交易所(以下简称 "上交所")、其他政府机关对本公司可转换公司债券上市及有关事项的意见,均不表明 对本公司的任何保证。 本公司提醒广大 ...
A股AI眼镜概念股强势,可川科技涨停,博士眼镜涨超8%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-05 03:49
格隆汇12月5日|A股市场AI眼镜概念股表现强势,截至半日收盘,可川科技涨停,中富通涨超9%,博 士眼镜涨超8%,统联精密涨超6%,长盈精密涨超5%,联创电子、博杰股份、茂莱光学涨超4%。消息 面上,12月3日,理想汽车发布首款理想AI眼镜Livis。此前,11月27日,阿里旗下夸克AI眼镜S1正式发 布。同时,阿里还联合高通、立讯精密、博士眼镜、至格科技等多家企业,宣布成立夸克AI眼镜产业 生态联盟。 ...
南京茂莱光学科技股份有限公司 关于公司非独立董事离任暨选举职工董事的公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-12-01 23:22
Core Points - The resignation of non-independent director Song Zhiping is due to the adjustment of the company's governance structure, but he will continue to hold other positions within the company [1][2] - The resignation will not affect the minimum number of board members required by law, and the normal operation of the board will remain unaffected [1][2] - Song Zhiping was elected as the employee director of the fourth board of directors during the employee representative meeting held on December 1, 2025 [2] Director Resignation Details - Song Zhiping submitted a written resignation report, which became effective upon delivery to the board [1] - His resignation does not require a new election for the strategic and development committee, as the committee's composition remains unchanged [1] Employee Director Election - The election of Song Zhiping as the employee director was conducted in accordance with the company's articles of association, ensuring compliance with legal requirements [2] - The number of employee representatives on the board does not exceed half of the total number of directors, aligning with relevant laws and regulations [2] Background of Song Zhiping - Song Zhiping has a background in precision instruments and has held various positions in the optical industry since 1983 [3][4] - He has served as a vice president and general engineer at Nanjing Maolai Optical Technology Co., Ltd. and has been involved in several professional committees [4]