Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy" for the company with a target price of HKD 12.75 [7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 19.89 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year decline of 12.3%, but a growth of 3.4% year-over-year in Q3 [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first three quarters was RMB 3.51 billion, down 7.1% year-over-year, with Q3 profit showing a significant increase of 27% year-over-year [1]. - The revenue growth in Q3 is attributed to the narrowing decline in the prescription drug business and the gradual dissipation of the impact from centralized procurement [1][2]. - The company is optimistic about the continued market expansion of new products such as Omaguzumab and Mingfule under the backdrop of ongoing market development [1][2]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company reported a revenue of RMB 19.89 billion for 1-3Q25, with Q3 revenue showing a 3.4% year-over-year increase and a 5.7% quarter-over-quarter increase [1]. - The net profit for 1-3Q25 was RMB 3.51 billion, with Q3 profit at RMB 960 million, indicating a strong recovery in profitability [1]. Product Pipeline and Business Development - The report highlights the potential of the EGFR ADC pipeline, with ongoing clinical trials both domestically and internationally, indicating strong competitive advantages [3]. - The company confirmed BD revenue of RMB 1.54 billion in 1-3Q25, with expectations for continued BD opportunities in 2026 [4]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a return to positive growth in prescription drug revenue by 2026, driven by new product launches and the absence of major products in the latest round of centralized procurement [2]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are RMB 4.55 billion, RMB 4.63 billion, and RMB 5.03 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of RMB 0.40, RMB 0.40, and RMB 0.44 [5][10].
石药集团(01093):3Q收入重回增长,创新管线多点开花