TFC(SZ:300394) Western Securities·2025-11-22 13:04Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][10]. Core Insights - The company has experienced significant revenue growth driven by global data center demand, with a revenue increase of 63.6% year-on-year to 3.918 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [1][5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 1.465 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 50.1% [1][5]. - The company is actively enhancing its production capacity and increasing R&D investment, with R&D expenses amounting to 200 million yuan, a 15.82% increase year-on-year [2][5]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.463 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.4% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.2% [1][2]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 improved to 53.68%, up 4.30 percentage points from the previous quarter, although it decreased by 5.36 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The total operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.344 billion yuan, a 50.43% increase year-on-year [1][5]. Future Projections - The projected net profits for the company are 2.1 billion yuan in 2025, 3.0 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.9 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 54.7, 38.5, and 29.4 respectively [3][9]. - Revenue is expected to grow significantly, with estimates of 5.656 billion yuan in 2025, 8.249 billion yuan in 2026, and 10.371 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 73.9%, 45.9%, and 25.7% respectively [3][9]. Cost Structure - The total expense ratio for Q3 2025 was 7.23%, a decrease of 7.14 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 1.19 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The breakdown of expense ratios for Q3 2025 includes sales at 0.27%, management at 2.53%, R&D at 5.10%, and financial expenses at -0.68% [2]. Asset and Equity Overview - As of Q3 2025, the company's fixed assets amounted to 1.114 billion yuan, an increase from 804 million yuan at the end of 2024 [2]. - The total assets are projected to reach 6.76 billion yuan by 2025, with shareholder equity expected to be 5.899 billion yuan [9].