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市场波动中,重点关注风电、锂电、储能等确定性高景气方向

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on wind power and lithium battery/storage sectors due to their attractive valuation and growth potential, while also indicating a watchful eye on AIDC power, liquid cooling, distribution, and SOFC as they may show significant elasticity when AI sentiment improves [1][6]. Core Insights - The global capital market is experiencing significant volatility influenced by AI, but long-term trends such as global energy supply-demand shifts, domestic planning, and carbon reduction goals remain unchanged, making certain sub-industries attractive for investment [1][6]. - Wind power is highlighted as having a clear upward trend in demand, with low valuations and immunity to AI-related fluctuations, particularly following the initiation of a 2.8GW offshore wind project in Denmark [1][7]. - The lithium battery sector is seeing price increases, with the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate reaching 165,000 RMB/ton, a 27% year-on-year increase, indicating a strong outlook for the lithium battery supply chain [1][10]. Summary by Sections Wind Power - The Danish government has initiated a 2.8GW offshore wind project tender, marking a significant policy shift in Europe that is expected to stabilize industry growth [7]. - Daikin Heavy Industries has signed a major contract for offshore wind projects in Europe, with a contract value significantly exceeding expectations, indicating strong growth potential in service business expansion [8]. Lithium Battery/Storage - The lithium battery supply chain is experiencing price increases, with the average cost of lithium iron phosphate materials ranging from 15,714.8 RMB/ton to 16,439.3 RMB/ton, providing a benchmark for cost control [10][15]. - Guoxuan High-Tech has commenced mass production of standard battery cells for Volkswagen, marking a significant milestone in their strategic partnership [10]. Photovoltaics & Energy Storage - In October, battery component exports increased by 21% year-on-year, although terminal demand is expected to slow down towards the end of the year, suggesting a potential recovery in demand-side pessimism [18]. - The report recommends bottom-fishing in the photovoltaic sector, focusing on leading companies in solar storage, glass, low-cost silicon materials, and high-efficiency batteries/components [20]. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells - The green methanol industry is transitioning from policy-driven growth to commercial realization, with significant progress in project implementation and infrastructure [20]. - The establishment of a green methanol project in Inner Mongolia is expected to enhance production capacity and reduce costs, indicating a robust future for the green methanol market [21]. AIDC - NVIDIA's recent financial report shows a significant revenue increase, indicating strong market demand for liquid cooling solutions, which presents investment opportunities in this sector [23][24]. - The shift in NVIDIA's strategy to supply Level-10 systems directly to partners is expected to enhance the competitive advantage of companies providing comprehensive liquid cooling solutions [24][25]. Electric Grid - In October, major power equipment exports reached 6.3 billion USD, with a year-on-year increase of 8%, indicating a long-term high demand for overseas power equipment [26][27]. - The approval of several high-voltage direct current projects is expected to accelerate bidding and enhance order growth for related companies [28][29].