安克创新(300866):纵览安克增长前景系列报告之五:如何看待储能板块增长势能?

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anker Innovations [10][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights the significant growth potential in the energy storage sector, driven by high electricity costs and instability in the US and European markets. Anker Innovations, as a pioneer in balcony solar storage, is well-positioned to benefit from this growth [6][10]. Summary by Sections Energy Storage Market Dynamics - High electricity costs and significant price volatility in the US and Europe create a persistent demand for energy storage products. Anker has been involved in the energy storage business since 2015 and achieved the top global sales in balcony solar storage in 2024, with a revenue of 3.02 billion yuan, representing a 184% year-on-year growth [6][22]. Portable Energy Storage - The portable energy storage market is expanding from outdoor applications to home backup needs. In 2024, global sales of portable energy storage products are expected to reach 9.2 million units, generating $3.8 billion in revenue, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.3% and 20.6% respectively from 2024 to 2029. Anker's market share is projected to be around 12% in 2024 [7][36][50]. Balcony Solar Storage - Balcony solar storage offers economic advantages over traditional home storage solutions, with policies in Germany driving rapid growth. In 2024, approximately 222,000 units are expected to be installed in Germany, a 97% increase year-on-year. Anker's market share in this segment is estimated at 75% in 2023 and 55% in 2024 [8][20][22]. Home Energy Storage - The demand for home energy storage remains strong, particularly in new markets like Australia, where government subsidies are enhancing market conditions. The CAGR for shipments in this segment is expected to be 21.4% from 2025 to 2030. Anker's home storage product, the Anker Solix X1, is noted for its superior specifications compared to competitors like Tesla [9][10][20]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the energy storage sector is experiencing favorable market conditions, with Anker Innovations expected to maintain its competitive edge. Projected net profits for Anker from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 2.657 billion, 3.198 billion, and 3.895 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 20.80, 17.29, and 14.19 [10][12].