大麦娱乐(01060):IP收入超一倍增长,演出业务多元探索

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][11]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant growth in IP revenue, with a more than doubling of income from IP-related businesses, particularly in ToB licensing and a rapidly developing ToC segment [11]. - The company's total revenue for FY26H1 reached 4.05 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 33%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 520 million RMB, up 54% [8][11]. - The report highlights a strategic shift in the film investment approach, focusing on lower-risk, high-quality content, while the live performance segment is expanding both domestically and internationally [11]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue projections for FY2024 to FY2028 are as follows: - FY2024: 5.036 billion RMB (YoY +43%) - FY2025: 6.702 billion RMB (YoY +33%) - FY2026E: 8.510 billion RMB (YoY +27%) - FY2027E: 9.982 billion RMB (YoY +17%) - FY2028E: 11.336 billion RMB (YoY +14%) [10][12]. - Net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is forecasted to grow significantly, with estimates of 1.043 billion RMB for FY2026E, reflecting a 187% increase from FY2025 [10][12]. - The report anticipates a steady increase in earnings per share, projected to reach 3.52 RMB in FY2026E [10][12]. Business Segment Performance - The IP derivative business saw a revenue increase of 105% in FY26H1, with a focus on high-quality IPs and expanding retail brand operations [11]. - The live performance segment generated 1.34 billion RMB in revenue for FY26H1, marking a 14.5% increase, despite some pressure on profit margins due to international expansion efforts [11]. - The film segment reported a revenue decline of 15% in FY26H1, prompting a strategic pivot towards lower-budget, high-quality films [11].