亿纬锂能(300014):亿纬锂能2025三季报分析:一次性因素影响盈利,关注经营改善趋势向好

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 16.832 billion yuan for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 35.85% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.49%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.211 billion yuan, up 15.13% year-on-year and up 140.16% quarter-on-quarter. However, the non-recurring net profit was 780 million yuan, down 22.04% year-on-year but up 130.04% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters, the company shipped 34.59 GWh of power batteries, a year-on-year increase of 66.98%, and 48.41 GWh of energy storage batteries, a year-on-year increase of 35.51%. Overall shipments exceeded industry growth rates, leading to an increase in market share [11]. - The gross profit margin and net profit margin for Q3 2025 were 13.66% and 7.33%, respectively. Excluding stock incentive expenses and specific bad debt provisions, the operating profitability is expected to remain stable [11]. - The company’s operating cash flow was a net inflow of 2.531 billion yuan, with capital expenditures amounting to 3.032 billion yuan [11]. Future Outlook - The company has a positive outlook for future operations, particularly in energy storage, where price adjustments in Q4 2025 are expected to enhance profitability. The Malaysian energy storage base is anticipated to contribute excess profits as it ramps up production [11]. - The company is expected to benefit from structural improvements and tightening battery supply, with a projected net profit of 4.5 billion yuan for 2025 and 8 billion yuan for 2026, corresponding to a PE ratio of 18X for 2026 [11].