特海国际(09658):点评报告:翻台率有所提升,多品牌计划稳步推进

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Super Hi International Holding [2][15]. Core Views - The company has shown improvement in table turnover rates and is steadily advancing its multi-brand strategy. The revenue for 3Q25 reached USD 210 million, a year-on-year increase of 7.8%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 90.4% to USD 3.609 million due to increased foreign exchange losses [3][4][15]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are maintained at USD 856 million, USD 952 million, and USD 1.064 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 10.0%, 11.2%, and 11.7% respectively [8][15]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be USD 40 million in 2025, USD 50 million in 2026, and USD 70 million in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 102.4%, 23.5%, and 25.6% [8][15]. - The gross profit margin is projected to be around 66.3% in 2025, with net profit margins of 5.2%, 5.7%, and 6.4% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8][15]. Operational Insights - The company’s restaurant operations generated USD 200 million in revenue for 3Q25, a 5.1% increase year-on-year, driven by network expansion and enhanced brand influence [4][5]. - The takeaway business saw significant growth, with revenue increasing by 69.2% to USD 4.4 million, attributed to product optimization and strategic marketing collaborations [4][5]. - The average table turnover rate improved to 3.9 times per day, reflecting the effectiveness of the company's customer and employee incentive strategies [5][6]. Market Position and Valuation - The target price is set at HKD 18.4, corresponding to a market capitalization of HKD 11.98 billion, based on a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.8 [2][15]. - The company’s current market capitalization is approximately HKD 9.25 billion, with a share price of HKD 14.22 as of November 27, 2025 [2][15].