ZTO EXPRESS(US:ZTO) Dongxing Securities·2025-11-28 11:57Economic News - The Hong Kong government has banned the import of seafood, sea salt, and seaweed from 10 prefectures in Japan due to the discharge of nuclear wastewater from Fukushima [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes the importance of high-quality development in the service industry for stabilizing employment and promoting consumption [1] - From January to October, the total operating income of state-owned enterprises in China increased by 0.9% year-on-year, while total profits decreased by 3.0% [1] - The Ministry of Commerce plans to expand market access for foreign investment, particularly in the service sector, and improve the investment environment [4] Company Insights - Meituan reported a revenue of 95.488 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.0%, but incurred an operating loss of 18.632 billion yuan [5] - Meixinsheng is focusing on AI sensor technology, enhancing its product offerings in smart perception and human-computer interaction [5] - CITIC Heavy Industries has been involved in major national projects, providing critical materials and equipment for space missions [5] - Shanghai Pharmaceuticals received approval for a generic drug, indicating progress in its product pipeline [5] - Pinggao Electric won bids totaling approximately 773 million yuan in a procurement round from the State Grid Corporation, which is expected to positively impact future operations [5] Daily Research Report - Zhongtong Express reported a Q3 business volume of 9.573 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, but slightly lowered its annual business volume guidance due to industry trends [6] - The company experienced a slight increase in single-ticket revenue, which grew by 1.7% to 1.21 yuan per ticket, indicating a recovery in profitability [7] - The company's single-ticket profit level improved in Q3, with adjusted net profit rising from 0.21 yuan in Q2 to 0.26 yuan in Q3, suggesting a positive outlook for Q4 [8] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate net profits of 9.06 billion, 10.22 billion, and 11.53 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 13.0X, 11.5X, and 10.2X [8]