SFY(SZ:002572) Huafu Securities·2025-12-01 08:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [14]. Core Views - The company is projected to experience fluctuations in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with a forecasted revenue of 10.49 billion yuan in 2024, decreasing to 9.84 billion yuan in 2025, and then recovering to 11.09 billion yuan by 2027 [2][5]. - The net profit is expected to decline to 1.06 billion yuan in 2025, followed by a recovery to 1.25 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of -22% in 2025 and 7% in 2027 [2][5]. - The company is recognized as a leading player in the customized home furnishings industry, with a multi-brand, full-category, and full-channel strategy that emphasizes shareholder returns, projecting a dividend yield of approximately 6% based on current profit forecasts [5]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 11.67 billion yuan in 2023, 10.49 billion yuan in 2024, 9.84 billion yuan in 2025, 10.43 billion yuan in 2026, and 11.09 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 4%, -10%, -6%, 6%, and 6% respectively [2]. - Net profit estimates are 1.26 billion yuan for 2023, 1.37 billion yuan for 2024, 1.06 billion yuan for 2025, 1.17 billion yuan for 2026, and 1.25 billion yuan for 2027, with growth rates of 19%, 9%, -22%, 10%, and 7% respectively [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.31 yuan in 2023, 1.42 yuan in 2024, 1.10 yuan in 2025, 1.22 yuan in 2026, and 1.30 yuan in 2027 [2]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 10.7 in 2023, 9.8 in 2024, 12.6 in 2025, 11.5 in 2026, and 10.7 in 2027 [2]. Shareholder Dynamics - The report highlights a significant equity transfer involving the company's controlling shareholders, with a total of 103,711,180 shares being transferred at a price of 18.00 yuan per share, totaling approximately 1.87 billion yuan [5]. - Following this transfer, the new shareholder, Ningbo Yingfeng Ruihe Investment Management Co., Ltd., will hold 12.7% of the company's total shares, indicating confidence in the company's long-term investment value [5].