天立国际控股(01773):存在一次性费用影响,期待明年招生恢复增长及AI业务突破

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, Tianli International Holdings (1773.HK) [1] Core Insights - The company experienced a total revenue of 3.589 billion and a net profit of 648 million for FY2025, reflecting year-on-year growth of 8.1% and 16.5% respectively, in line with performance forecasts [2] - The report highlights a one-time expense impact of approximately 110-120 million due to increased investments in AI and changes in recruitment strategies, which affected student enrollment numbers [2][4] - The company distributed a final dividend of 3.9 cents and an interim dividend of 5.78 cents, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of 30%, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.98% [3] Financial Performance Summary - For FY2025, the company's core education services and management business grew by 7% and 94% respectively, with the addition of 8 new managed schools [4] - The overall revenue from comprehensive education services, product sales, restaurant operations, and management fees was 1.868 billion, 0.992 billion, 0.613 billion, and 0.116 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.0%, 8.0%, 2.6%, and 93.9% [4] - The gross margin for FY2025 was 33.8%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased slightly to 18.1% [5] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in high school enrollment next year, supported by a strategic shift towards A-class students, which is expected to enhance its reputation in the long term [6] - The AI business is expected to accelerate with the establishment of new marketing teams and the introduction of products such as AI camps and classrooms [7] - The high-margin management business is projected to maintain an expansion rate of 20 new segments annually, while the education services are expected to continue growing steadily [7]