zhenhua chemical(SH:603067) East Money Securities·2025-12-01 11:39Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Add" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on industry conditions and growth potential [2][5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.217 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.47%, with a net profit of 410 million yuan, up 12.56% year-on-year. However, Q3 revenue decreased by 12.17% quarter-on-quarter due to price declines and demand fluctuations [4][5]. - The demand for chromium products is expected to recover post-September, which may lead to a rebound in prices. The average market price for chromium increased by 10,000 yuan to 77,500 yuan per ton by October 30, 2025, reflecting a 29.17% increase since the beginning of the year [4][5]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for high-temperature alloys in both domestic and international markets, particularly in aerospace and energy sectors, which is expected to drive up the prices of chromium and upstream chromium salts [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.027 billion yuan, a 2.13% increase year-on-year but a 12.17% decrease quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q3 was 112 million yuan, down 9.15% year-on-year and 38.17% quarter-on-quarter [4][5]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 20.036 billion yuan, with a 52-week price range of 33.20 to 11.60 yuan [4]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights a significant increase in the demand for chromium due to the rapid growth of high-temperature alloys, with a projected export volume of 22,551 tons for 2024, an 86% increase year-on-year [4][5]. - The company is also involved in a restructuring project that is expected to enhance its production capacity, potentially reaching 410,000 tons per year for chromium salts [4][5]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for the company indicates a net profit of 610 million yuan in 2025, 850 million yuan in 2026, and 1.028 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.86 yuan, 1.20 yuan, and 1.45 yuan respectively [5][6].