WTECL(SH:600157) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-12-03 07:13Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yongtai Energy is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Views - The construction progress of the Haizetang coal mine has exceeded expectations, and the company plans to repurchase shares for cancellation, signaling confidence in long-term development [1][2] - The projected net profit for the years 2025-2027 is estimated at 5.8 billion, 10.5 billion, and 14.7 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.03, 0.05, and 0.07 yuan, indicating a significant recovery in profitability [1][4] Summary by Sections Project Development - The Haizetang coal mine, a strategic project for the company, has a resource reserve of 1.145 billion tons and an area of approximately 200 square kilometers, with a certified production capacity of 6 million tons per year, expected to increase to 10 million tons per year upon full production [2] - Key construction milestones include the completion of all four shafts, significant progress in the main transport tunnel, and the operation of advanced mining equipment, laying a solid foundation for trial production in July 2026 [2] Financial Performance - The financial summary indicates a decline in revenue from 30.12 billion yuan in 2023 to an estimated 21.463 billion yuan in 2025, followed by a recovery to 27.552 billion yuan in 2027 [4] - The gross profit margin is projected to fluctuate, with a low of 18.1% in 2025 and a recovery to 23.9% by 2027 [4][9] Share Repurchase - The company plans to repurchase 0.55%-0.92% of its shares at a maximum price of 2.5 yuan per share, using 300-500 million yuan of its own and raised funds, with the aim of reducing registered capital [3] - This repurchase is expected to optimize the capital structure and enhance earnings per share, contributing to a return to intrinsic value for the stock [3]