Sinocare(SZ:300298) Huachuang Securities·2025-12-03 08:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, with a target price of 24 yuan and a current price of 17.75 yuan [4][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.453 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting an increase of 8.52% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 211 million yuan, down 17.36% [2][9]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.190 billion yuan, up 13.40% year-on-year, but the net profit dropped significantly by 47.55% to 30 million yuan [2][9]. - The decline in profit is primarily attributed to cross-licensing patent fees impacting short-term profitability, specifically a payment of 19 million USD to Roche, which affected the net profit by approximately 136 million yuan [9]. Financial Performance Summary - The total revenue forecast for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E is 4.443 billion, 4.901 billion, 5.474 billion, and 6.250 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 9.5%, 10.3%, 11.7%, and 14.2% [4][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 326 million, 294 million, 485 million, and 581 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 14.7%, -10.1%, 65.3%, and 20.0% respectively [4][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.58, 0.52, 0.87, and 1.04 yuan for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively [4][10]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is experiencing steady growth in both traditional and continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) businesses, with double-digit revenue growth in Q3 2025 [9]. - The company has successfully navigated patent challenges, reaching a settlement with Roche and obtaining necessary patent licenses, which is crucial for its market expansion [9]. - The report highlights the importance of ongoing innovation and intellectual property management to mitigate risks associated with patent litigation from industry giants [9].