Anlogic(SH:688107) Guotou Securities·2025-12-03 09:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 35.76 CNY per share, while the current share price is 26.89 CNY as of December 3, 2025 [5]. Core Insights - The company has experienced a quarter-on-quarter revenue growth of 11.42% in Q3 2025, reaching 145 million CNY, despite a year-on-year decline of 25.79% in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 [2]. - The FPGA market is expected to grow from 11.73 billion USD in 2025 to 19.34 billion USD by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.5% from 2025 to 2030, driven by increasing demand in data centers, telecommunications, and automotive applications [1]. - The company has established a complete technology chain in automotive electronics, with FPGA products already in mass production for key industry clients, and has received AEC-Q100 Grade 2 certification for some products [3]. - The company is also seeing commercial success in emerging fields such as intelligent computing servers, with its FPGA chips widely used in data centers [3]. Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 368 million CNY, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -191 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 21.08% [2]. - The company's R&D expenses accounted for 69.45% of total expenses, indicating a strong commitment to innovation despite the revenue decline [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 623 million CNY in 2025, 830 million CNY in 2026, and 1.024 billion CNY in 2027, with net profits expected to improve from -198 million CNY in 2025 to -8 million CNY in 2027 [11]. - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 23 times in 2025, reflecting the ongoing development of its FPGA product portfolio and the growth in automotive electronics and intelligent computing servers [11].