中银量化大类资产跟踪:日本利率显著上行,关注对全球股指的冲击效应
- The report tracks the performance of various stock market indices, including A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and US stocks, with a focus on the relative performance of different styles such as growth vs. dividend, small-cap vs. large-cap, and micro-cap vs. CSI 800[1][2][7] - The report highlights the valuation and equity-bond cost-effectiveness of A-shares, noting that the current PE_TTM of A-shares is at a historically high percentile, with marginal increases over the past week[41][42][46] - The report discusses the relative crowding and cost-effectiveness of different styles, with growth vs. dividend and micro-cap vs. CSI 800 being at historically high levels, while small-cap vs. large-cap is at a historically balanced level[72][75][78] - The report examines the impact of US Treasury yields on the performance of different styles, noting that the recent rise in US Treasury yields has led to growth outperforming dividends and large-cap underperforming small-cap, which is consistent with long-term trends[83][85][86] - The report tracks the performance of major funds, noting that most major fund indices have outperformed the Wind All A index over the past week, with the social security heavy index and the national team index leading the gains[89][93][95] - The report provides an overview of the bond market, noting that both Chinese and US Treasury yields have risen over the past week, with the China-US spread at a historically high level[112][113][114] - The report tracks the performance of the commodity market, noting that both Chinese and US commodity markets have risen over the past week, with the Nanhua Precious Metals Index and the CRB Metals Index leading the gains[123][124][125]