德昌股份(605555):汽车EPS电机内资企业龙头,机器人关节电机业务打开成长空间

Investment Rating - The investment rating for 德昌股份 is upgraded to "Buy" [6][8]. Core Views - 德昌股份 is a leading domestic enterprise in automotive EPS motors, extending its high-end motor technology barriers into the robotics sector, particularly in joint motors, which is expected to open up growth opportunities [1][5]. - The market currently perceives the company as a traditional home appliance manufacturer, underestimating its growth potential [2][3]. Summary by Sections Business Transformation - The company's business focus has significantly shifted, with home appliance operations serving as a cash cow. The automotive EPS motor business, developed over the past five years, has entered a growth phase and is becoming the second growth curve for the company. The market's understanding of the automotive EPS motor sector is limited, as it has higher technical barriers compared to ordinary motors. Previously, the global market was dominated by foreign giants like Nidec and Bosch, but 德昌股份 has established itself as a leading domestic player with strong product capabilities and competitive advantages [3][5]. Robotics Sector Potential - The difficulty of entering the robotics joint motor market is higher than market expectations, and the company's capabilities in this area are significantly underestimated. There is little market anticipation regarding the company's foray into this sector [3][5]. Performance Indicators and Catalysts - Key performance indicators include the revenue share and profitability of automotive EPS motors, as well as customer acquisition and order status in the robotics sector. Catalysts for growth include an increase in revenue share from automotive EPS motors and successful breakthroughs in customer acquisition for the robotics business [4][5]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 德昌股份 from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 46.9 billion, 53.9 billion, and 63.2 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 14.6%, 14.8%, and 17.3% respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 2.0 billion, 4.0 billion, and 5.7 billion yuan, with significant fluctuations in growth rates [6][12].