中集安瑞科(03899):LNG储运订单高增,氢氨醇放量可期

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][10]. Core Insights - The company is a clean energy equipment platform under CIMC, focusing on LNG transportation, storage, and processing equipment, with a strong financial position and a projected CAGR of 17% for net profit from 2020 to 2024, driven by the growth in clean energy equipment [9][10]. - The company has a robust order book, with total orders amounting to 30.8 billion yuan as of Q3 2025, including 27.3 billion yuan in clean energy equipment [10][51]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in hydrogen and methanol businesses, supported by national policies and increasing demand for clean energy solutions [12][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 2004, is a subsidiary of CIMC, primarily engaged in the production of various transportation, storage, and processing equipment for clean energy, chemical environments, and liquid food industries [20][21]. - The company has shown steady revenue and profit growth, with a CAGR of 19% for revenue and 17% for net profit from 2020 to 2024 [26][32]. 2. Energy Equipment - The company benefits from a full order book in clean energy equipment, with significant growth expected in LNG storage and transportation due to declining natural gas prices and increasing demand [9][10]. - The report notes that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the LNG market, with a projected increase in LNG-powered vessels and infrastructure [62][66]. 3. Energy Operations - The company is expanding its operations in blue hydrogen and green methanol production, with projects expected to come online in the near future [10][12]. - The focus on utilizing by-products from steel production for hydrogen and LNG production is highlighted as a key growth area [21][61]. 4. Chemical and Food Industries - The company holds a significant market share in chemical tank containers, although it faces short-term pressures from the chemical cycle [32][34]. - The liquid food segment is also impacted by consumer trends, but diversification strategies are in place to enhance resilience [32][34]. 5. Investment Analysis - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.133 billion, 1.469 billion, and 1.762 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 13, 10, and 8 [10][11]. - The report suggests a reasonable valuation of 19.1 billion yuan for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 29% from the current market capitalization [10][11].