天玛智控（688570）：参股科工成套公司：战略协同赋能，锚定中长期高质量发展

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianma Zhikong (688570) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The strategic investment in the joint venture "Kegong Chengtai Company" aims to enhance long-term high-quality development through collaboration and resource complementarity, focusing on the development of intelligent mining equipment [2][3] - The partnership is expected to significantly expand market space by leveraging synergies between Tianma Zhikong's core products and Kegong Chengtai's focus on high-end hydraulic supports [2] - The joint venture will also facilitate technological innovation and address existing bottlenecks in key technology areas, enhancing Tianma Zhikong's competitive edge in the intelligent mining sector [2][3] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,206 million, with a year-on-year growth of 12.1%. However, a decline of 15.7% is expected in 2024, followed by a significant drop of 45.5% in 2025 [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 425 million in 2023, decreasing to 340 million in 2024, and further to 107 million in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 20.0% and 68.4% respectively [4] - The gross margin is expected to decrease from 45.1% in 2023 to 36.3% in 2025, indicating potential pressure on profitability [4] - The company maintains a solid financial position with cash reserves of 2.33 billion as of September 2025, allowing for strategic investments without impacting short-term dividend capabilities [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to decline from 0.98 in 2023 to 0.25 in 2025, with a gradual recovery expected thereafter [4][6] Strategic Initiatives - The investment in Kegong Chengtai Company is seen as a key move to optimize capital allocation and tap into the intelligent mining equipment sector, potentially leading to stable returns and growth in core business areas [6] - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing transformation and high-quality development of the coal industry, with significant opportunities in intelligent mining solutions driven by national policies and market demand [6]