NEW HOPE(SZ:000876) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-12-15 08:26Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company is experiencing continuous improvement in breeding costs, with stable growth in both domestic and international feed businesses [1] - The target price has been adjusted to 11.27 CNY due to a decline in pig prices expected after October 2025, leading to a downward revision of earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025 and 2026 [8] - The company’s breeding cost per kilogram has decreased to 12.5 CNY, with further potential for reduction [8] - The feed segment is expected to continue its robust growth, with a 16% increase in overseas sales volume in the first three quarters of 2025 [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 141,703 million CNY, with a slight increase of 0.1% [2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise significantly from 249 million CNY in 2023 to 1,077 million CNY in 2026, reflecting a growth of 117.1% in 2023 [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.06 CNY in 2023, increasing to 0.24 CNY by 2026 [2] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 1.0% in 2023 to 4.0% in 2026 [2] Market Data - The company's stock price has fluctuated between 8.35 CNY and 11.04 CNY over the past 52 weeks [3] - The total market capitalization is approximately 40,883 million CNY [3] Balance Sheet Summary - Shareholder equity stands at 25,762 million CNY, with a book value per share of 5.72 CNY [4] - The company has a net debt ratio of 136.65% [4] Sales and Production Insights - In November 2025, the company sold 156.75 thousand pigs, with a revenue of 1.812 billion CNY [8] - The cumulative sales from January to November 2025 reached 1,573.65 thousand pigs [8] - The average selling price of commodity pigs was 11.54 CNY per kilogram [8]