Avary Holding(SZ:002938) CMS·2025-12-16 06:54Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [2][6]. Core Insights - The company plans to invest 4.3 billion yuan in its Thailand base in 2026 to expand production capacity for high-end HDI and HLC products, aiming to provide comprehensive PCB solutions for the rapidly growing AI application market [6]. - The investment project is expected to enhance the company's AI PCB production capacity significantly, potentially reaching over 6 billion yuan in output value by 2027 [6]. - Short-term revenue for the company has shown a decline due to earlier customer inventory adjustments, with Q4 performance expected to be under pressure from exchange rate challenges [6]. - The company is well-positioned for medium to long-term growth, driven by hardware innovations and AI applications across various sectors, including wearable technology and robotics [6]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at 38.3 billion, 47.9 billion, and 57.5 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.95 billion, 5.33 billion, and 7.01 billion yuan [6]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 32.066 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 11%, followed by a recovery with growth rates of 10% in 2024 and 9% in 2025 [12]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.42 yuan in 2023, increasing to 3.03 yuan by 2027 [13]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 33.8 in 2023 to 15.8 in 2027, indicating a potential undervaluation as earnings grow [13]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 11.4% in 2023 to 17.8% in 2027, reflecting enhanced profitability [13].