AVIC AVIONICS(SH:600372) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-12-17 05:08Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" to the company with a target price of 15.00 CNY [6][12]. Core Views - The company aims to enhance its industrial chain layout and strengthen synergy effects through the acquisition of a 59.1816% stake in Hangtou Yuhua, which holds equity in five core enterprises in the airborne industry chain [2][12]. - The acquisition is valued at 202 million CNY, based on a third-party assessment of 342 million CNY for 100% of the stake, and is expected to be approved by the relevant authorities [12]. - The five target companies possess unique technical expertise, which will help the company to fill gaps in its industrial chain and foster new growth points [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 29,007 million CNY in 2023, with a slight increase of 4.6% year-on-year. However, a significant decline of 17.7% is expected in 2024 [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,886 million CNY in 2023, reflecting a substantial increase of 39.6%, but a decrease of 44.8% is anticipated in 2024 [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.39 CNY in 2023, dropping to 0.22 CNY in 2024, before gradually increasing to 0.36 CNY by 2027 [4][12]. Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 62,083 million CNY, with a total share capital of 4,839 million shares [7]. - The stock has traded within a range of 10.17 CNY to 12.88 CNY over the past 52 weeks [7]. Financial Ratios - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline from 5.2% in 2023 to 2.8% in 2024, before gradually improving to 4.2% by 2027 [4][13]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 32.53 in 2023, increasing to 58.96 in 2024, and then decreasing to 35.60 by 2027 [4][13].