Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment [6]. Core Insights - The company is a leading manufacturer of front-end thin film deposition equipment in China, with core products including PECVD, ALD, SACVD, and HDPCVD, which are widely used in integrated circuit manufacturing and advanced packaging [9][14]. - The global thin film deposition equipment market is expected to reach $34 billion by 2025, with a CAGR of 13.3% from 2020 to 2025, driven by the continuous evolution of advanced logic processes and the increasing complexity of storage devices [6][43]. - The company has a clear layout in three-dimensional integration and is transitioning from a single deposition equipment focus to a dual-engine platform that includes both deposition and bonding technologies [6][9]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 2,705 million yuan in 2023 to 10,817 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 54.4% [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 663 million yuan in 2023 to 2,522 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 40.4% [5]. - The gross margin is forecasted to stabilize around 41.1% by 2027, after experiencing fluctuations due to new product introductions and validation costs [29]. Company and Industry Situation - The company has established a strong competitive position in the PECVD segment, which accounts for approximately 33% of the thin film deposition market value, and is the only domestic manufacturer to achieve stable mass production of PECVD equipment [47][59]. - The thin film deposition equipment is a core component of the semiconductor front-end equipment system, with a stable market share of about 22% in wafer manufacturing equipment [47]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing expansion of domestic wafer fabs and the trend towards domestic substitution in semiconductor equipment [6][43]. Product and Technology Development - The company’s product lineup includes advanced bonding equipment and supporting measurement devices, which have already achieved mass production in fields such as advanced storage and image sensors [19][21]. - The PECVD series products have maintained a competitive advantage, with significant production scale expansion, while ALD products have also begun to receive repeat orders due to their leading domestic process coverage [19][20]. - The company’s new product introductions, including ALD and SACVD, are expected to enhance profitability as they transition from validation to mass production [21][25].
拓荆科技(688072):首次覆盖报告:深耕先进沉积工艺,延展混合键合版图